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Cities of the 21 Century A discussion of changes: needed and likely

1. International Conference on Innovative Cities. Curitiba, Brazil May 18, 2011. Cities of the 21 Century A discussion of changes: needed and likely. Ted Gordon Old Lyme, CT 06371. The Millennium Project. 2. 100 Years Ago. http://www.library.cornell.edu/Reps/DOCS/henard.htm. 23.

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Cities of the 21 Century A discussion of changes: needed and likely

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  1. 1. International Conference on Innovative Cities. Curitiba, Brazil May 18, 2011 Cities of the 21 CenturyA discussion of changes: needed and likely Ted Gordon Old Lyme, CT 06371 The Millennium Project

  2. 2. 100 Years Ago http://www.library.cornell.edu/Reps/DOCS/henard.htm

  3. 23 How Will We Know: A City SOFI • Population density • Population growth rate • Employment • Health • Transport (travel time) • Education, primary and secondary • Education, post secondary • Age profile • Fiscal health • Taxation level • Green space • Immigration • Parking availability • Cultural access • Location setting • Recreation availability • Crime rate • Slum areas • Reliability of energy, electricity • Suicide rate • Services (police, fire, health) • Hospitals/morbidity

  4. 3. Change is Surprising • Twenty five years ago there was no • Internet, smart-phones, few PCs • Globalization • Genetically modified food, stem cells • Google, Second Life, or Facebook • Asymmetrical warfare • Most believed the cold war would lead to WWIII

  5. 4. Changes Underway • Genetic code is being written by hobbyists • Stem cells as therapy • Experiments in invisibility • Surgical robots for operations • Deeper understanding of the brain • Super simulations in climate, nuclear tests • Photons slowed and accelerated • Quantum entanglement over long distances • Synthetic chromosomes from chemicals • Deeper understanding of gravity

  6. 6. Crowding Natural disasters Aging infrastructure, aging people Terrorism Size, slums CO2, pollution Traffic Sea water rise Corruption Fresh water

  7. 5. PopulationTrends 50% in 2009 Source: World Bank

  8. Aging, disasters, and terror 7. % Above 75 Years Old Natural Disasters Source: www.transfuture.net

  9. 8. Slums, CO2, Traffic Traffic Delays Source: World Bank

  10. Rising sea, water, corruption 9. Rising Sea 100 cm 50 cm

  11. 10. Ghost Cities 2100 Banjul, Gambia Rising sea levels and erosion Mexico City, Mexico Lack of water and sinking San Francisco, US, Earthquake Naples, Italy, Volcanoes Ivanovo, Russia, Population flight http://www.forbes.com/2007/06/11/ghost-cities-future-biz-cx_21cities_ee_0611ghostcities_slide_7.html?thisSpeed=undefined Timbuktu, Mali, Desertification

  12. 11. Computers, Automation and Cities 2050 • Computing power equal to humans • Collective intelligence • Ubiquitous, embedded • Mental prosthesis • Games and artificial reality 2025 http://secondlife.com/ Click here

  13. 12. Nano Technology and Cities Dynamic adaptive buildings Sensors: diagnosis and repair infrastructure Smart traffic control Anti terrorism Rewards based on driving habits and location Human therapy Ultra small ubiquitous cameras

  14. 13. Bio Technology and cities Virus detection Rapid growth trees Green zones Green rooftops Pest control New fuels Urban farms

  15. 14, Cogno Technology and cities fMRI and brain function Understanding the brain Extending intelligence Better decisions Less mental disease

  16. 15. Robots and Cities For dull and dangerous work Intelligent seeming (e.g. Watson) Self actualizing (e.g. responding to medical emergencies) Micro to macro scale Entertainment (e.g. music) Life likes http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=eZlLNVmaPbM&vq=medium#t=11 Click here

  17. 16 New Materials, Designs Stronger, lighter, self repairing Efficient, adaptive Stand alone (e.g. solar) Communicating Emergency housing Sterilizing Sway damping Invisibility cloaking

  18. 17. Taipei Tower Pendulum 730 Tons

  19. 18. Transport and cities Electric vehicles Robot vehicles Zip cars and bicycles Mass transit Tele-presence (why go?) New Systems

  20. 19 New art forms and the city History http://earth.google.com/rome/ Museums http://www.googleartproject.com/museums/moma Holographic performances Performances http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=0ZVwF6tyHBc&vq=medium#t=14 Politics http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/meast/02/15/muslim.world.unrest/index.html Networking

  21. 20 Cities of the Future • Everything connected: clothing – doctors - tickets • Nano-sensors and RFIDs in “everything” • Collective Intelligence, “Just-in-Time” knowledge • Urban systems management more effective • Counter-terrorism • Efficiency, smart design • Virtual reality overlays reality • Tele-work, Tele-presence • Reality becomes a continuum with cyber space

  22. 21 Some Elements of a Future City • Self adapting, self warning, self repairing • Self organizing sub cities • Human adapting, eco adaptive • Symbiotic with cars, trucks, people • Robots, automation • Watchful for crime, terrorism, disease • Freedom gained in education, virtual travel, connection with like-minded • Pleasant http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=7EYAUazLI9k&vq=medium Click here

  23. 22. Obrigado muito. O Brasil é um país de belas cidades

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