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Explore the impact of lithium on ALS progression through PatientsLikeMe’s observational study. Delve into the biases and results of this innovative approach to patient data analysis, with practical insights on predictive modeling and outcomes.
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Contents • PatientsLikeMe • What can MikeFromFinland teach us, and vice versa? • Lithium delays progression of ALS?! • PatientsLikeMe’s observational study • Finding patients like me • Results • Predictive modeling / What is my outcome? • Concluding remarks
Lithium delays progression of ALS?! Fornai et al., PNAS 105:2052-2057 (2008)
Biases and other stuff that worried us • Self-selection for treatment • “Recruitment bias” • Data reported (vs. data opportunity) • Outliers (e.g. PMA and PLS) • “Optimism bias” at treatment start
Conclusions • Structured, self-reported patient data, despite being subject to bias (like all patient data!), has value • Think about bias, and then think about bias again (Repeat) • “Pair programming” for statistics