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The Mexican Economy: Stability or Stagnation?

Explore the current state of the Mexican economy, analyzing vital signs such as GDP growth, foreign investment, inflation differentials, and government balance. Discover if Mexico is experiencing stability or stagnation post recent economic and political events.

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The Mexican Economy: Stability or Stagnation?

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  1. San Antonio Business and Economics Society The Mexican Economy: Stability or Stagnation? Jorge G. Gonzalez Trinity University

  2. Recent Economic and Political Events • Economic recovery in the U.S. • Mexican elections and government gridlock • Mexico – U.S. relationship

  3. Vital Signs • Is the link alive?

  4. Industrial Production Index(January 2000 = 100) Source: Banco de México and FED www.banxico.org.mx; www.federalreserve.gov

  5. Vital Signs • Is the link alive? • GDP growth

  6. Real GDP% Change Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

  7. Vital Signs • Is the link alive? • GDP growth • Direct Foreign Investment

  8. Foreign Direct InvestmentBillions of Dollars Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

  9. Vital Signs • Is the link alive? • GDP growth • Direct Foreign Investment • Super Peso and Foreign Sector

  10. Exchange RatePesos per U.S. Dollar Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

  11. Inflation Differential vs. Exchange Rate 311 Inflation 226 Exchange Rate Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

  12. Merchandise TradeBillions of Dollars Imports Exports Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

  13. Family RemittancesBillions of Dollars Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

  14. Family RemittancesBillions of Dollars Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

  15. Vital Signs • Is the link alive? • GDP growth • Direct Foreign Investment • Super Peso and Foreign Sector • Federal Government Balance

  16. Government BalanceBalance / GDP Source: SHCP www.shcp.gob.mx

  17. Vital Signs • Is the link alive? • GDP growth • Direct Foreign Investment • Super Peso and Foreign Sector • Federal Government Balance • War on Inflation

  18. Inflation Source: Banco de México www.banxico.org.mx

  19. Vital Signs Diagnosis: Stability • Is the link alive? • GDP growth • Direct Foreign Investment • Super Peso and Foreign Sector • Federal Government Balance • War on Inflation

  20. Stagnation? • Structural reform paralysis • Fiscal System • Energy Sector • Labor Market Regulations • Judicial System and Rule of Law • Educational Reform X

  21. Stagnation? • Structural reform paralysis • Corruption scandals • Anemic growth • Lack of excitement

  22. Stability or Stagnation? Source: crawfordfineart.com

  23. Stability or Stagnation? • Incredible transformation with stability • Much work to be done • Speed matters

  24. Source: www.mx.terra.com

  25. San Antonio Business and Economics Society The Mexican Economy: Stability or Stagnation? www.trinity.edu/jgonzal1 jorge.gonzalez@trinity.edu

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