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Renewable Energy Development and Prospects – an Industry Point of View -2010-2020-2040 . Oliver Schaefer Policy Advisor EREC - European Renewable Energy Council. Will the White Paper Targets Be Achieved? 2010. … yes, if specific support actions are taken soon for some technologies.

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Renewable energy development and prospects an industry point of view 2010 2020 2040

Renewable Energy Developmentand Prospects – an Industry Point of View -2010-2020-2040

Oliver Schaefer

Policy Advisor

EREC - European Renewable Energy Council


Will the white paper targets be achieved 2010
Will the White Paper Targets Be Achieved? 2010

… yes, if specific support actions are taken soon for some technologies.

Some of the targets must be revised.



Evaluation of development rates of res up to the present
Evaluation of Development Rates of RES up to the Present

Hydro, Geothermal & PV:

Development rates as expected

Should reach the targets

Biomass & Solar Collectors:

Development rates below expectations

Reaching the targets seems problematic

Wind Energy:

Development rates largely above expectations

Should exceed target

The possible overestimation of biomass and solar collector targets could be balanced by the possible underestimation of wind energy


Contribution of RES to Total Inland up to the Present

Consumption - 2020

Eurostat Convention (Mtoe)


Total RES investment up to the Present(2001 – 2020)


Cumulative Avoided External Costs up to the Present

in the EU15 (2001 – 2020)


Annual CO up to the Present2 Emission Reductions due to RES Penetration (2001 – 2020)


Cumulative Avoided Fuel Costs up to the Present

in the EU15 (2001 – 2020)


Advanced international policies scenario for electricity 2040 global twh
Advanced International up to the PresentPolicies Scenariofor electricity 2040-Global, TWh


Dynamic current policies scenario for electricity 2040 global twh
Dynamic Current up to the PresentPolicies Scenario for electricity 2040 –Global, TWh


Advanced International Policies Scenario up to the PresentAnnual Cumulative Growth Rates


Dynamic Current Policies Scenario up to the PresentAnnual Cumulative Growth Rates


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