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Understanding Responsibility for Extreme Weather Events: Climate Change and Human Impact

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This discussion led by experts from the University of Oxford explores the question of accountability regarding extreme weather events. Led by Friederike Otto, Neil Massey, and Myles Allen, the talk highlights the role of human-induced climate change on recent weather patterns, enabling us to assess the likelihood of extreme events, such as winter storms in the UK. By analyzing regional climate models and rainfall data dating back to 1767, we delve into how greenhouse gas emissions influence these occurrences and what we can learn from ongoing research initiatives like weather@home.

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Understanding Responsibility for Extreme Weather Events: Climate Change and Human Impact

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  1. Who is to blame for the weather? – weather@home FriederikeOtto, Neil Massey, Myles Allen…… Environmental Change Institute School of Geography and the Environment University of Oxford friederike.otto@ouce.ox.ac.uk

  2. weather@home regional climate models

  3. Simulating extreme weather events • another winter storm coming in the winter in the UK • Extreme events - the highest monthly precipitation in Oxford before this winter has been in 1767 • How extreme would it have been without climate change?

  4. We can ask how the risk of an extreme event occurring has changed due to human greenhouse gas emissions

  5. Thanks to weather@home participants we can start to identify the impacts of climate change today – but some events are more of a challenge than others

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