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National Centers for Environmental Prediction

National Centers for Environmental Prediction. CDR Sean R. White, NOAA Chief Science Officer BOTC-106 August 20, 2004 Silver Spring, MD. NOAA Organization NWS Offices NCEP Center Locations NCEP Centers NOAA Corps Billets. Overview. NCEP Center Locations.

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National Centers for Environmental Prediction

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  1. National Centers for Environmental Prediction CDR Sean R. White, NOAA Chief Science Officer BOTC-106 August 20, 2004 Silver Spring, MD

  2. NOAA Organization NWS Offices NCEP Center Locations NCEP Centers NOAA Corps Billets Overview

  3. NCEP Center Locations NCEP Central Operations Climate Prediction Center Environmental Modeling Center Hydrometeorological Prediction Center Ocean Prediction Center Aviation Weather Center Space Environment Center Tropical Prediction Center Storm Prediction Center

  4. Environmental Modeling Center Develops and improves numerical weather, climate, hydrological and ocean prediction through a broad program of applied research in data analysis, modeling and product development • Global, regional domains • Weather, climate, hurricane, ocean, ozone models • Forecasts out to 16 days

  5. Hydrometeorological Prediction Center • Provides forecast, guidance, and analysis products and services in support of the National Weather Service and its customers • Quantitative precipitation forecasts, excessive rainfall, river flood outlook, and heavy ice & snow guidance • medium-range guidance (Days 3-7) • model diagnostic discussions and associated graphics tools • surface analyses & basic weather forecasts • International Training Desks • Winter Weather products • Provides tailored weather support to other government agencies in emergency and special situations.

  6. Ocean Prediction Center • Provides atmospheric and oceanographic warning, forecast, and analysis products and services for thenorth Atlantic and north Pacific • Atlantic and Pacific high seas • narrative warnings & forecasts to 48 h • graphic analyses and forecasts to 96 h • Offshore warnings • Sea-state analysis and forecast graphics • Weather analysis and forecast narratives • Global quality control of marine observations

  7. Climate Prediction Center • Assesses and predicts the impacts of short-term climate variability, emphasizing enhanced risks of weather related extreme events, for use in mitigating losses and maximizing economic gains. • Climate Outlooks • Tropical Pacific SSTs • Seasonal and Monthly Temperature and Precipitation Anomalies • Seasonal Drought Outlooks • Seasonal Hurricane Outlooks • Day 6-10 and 8-14 Outlooks • Hazard Assessments – Day 3-14 – Weather/Climate Connection • UV Index • Climate monitoring • Oceans, drought, temperature, precipitation, atmospheric circulation, ozone

  8. Aviation Weather Center • Provides aviation warnings and forecasts of hazardous flight conditions at all levels within domestic and international airspace • Domestic programs • Area Forecast (FA) • AIRMETs/SIGMETs icing, turbulence, IFR, volcanic ash • Convective SIGMETs thunderstorms, valid 2 hrs, outlook valid 2- 6 hrs • Significant thunderstorm outlook (2/4/6 hrs) • Low Level SIGWX progs • International Products • Gulf of Mexico Area Forecast for Helicopters • Caribbean Area Forecast for General Aviation • International SIGMETs for 7 Oceanic Areas • Upper Level Significant Weather Charts for 7 ICAO areas • International Flight Folder Documentation Program

  9. Storm Prediction Center • Provides timely and accurate forecasts and watches for thunderstorms and tornadoes over the contiguous United States. The SPC also monitors heavy rain, snow, and fire weather events across the U.S. and issues specific products for those hazards. • Severe Weather Watches • Day 1, 2 and 3 Convective Outlooks • Day 1 and 2 Fire Weather Outlooks • Mesoscale Discussions

  10. Tropical Prediction Center • Provides official forecasts of the movement and strength of tropical weather systems and issues the appropriate watches and warnings for the US and surrounding area. • Tropical cyclone products include tropical cyclone forecast/advisories, discussions, strike probabilities, and position estimates • Tropical marine products include high seas forecasts for the tropical Atlantic, eastern Pacific, and south Pacific Oceans and offshore forecasts for the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico.

  11. Space Environment Center • Provides space weather alerts and warnings for disturbances that affect people and equipment working in space and on Earth • Monitors solar and geomagnetic activity 24 hours a day, alerts users when possibly disruptive or dangerous changes occur in the space environment and issues daily forecasts of space environment conditions • acts as the World Warning Agency for the space environment. • Synthesizes and disseminates information about past, present, and future conditions in the space environment for space weather users

  12. NCEPhttp://www.ncep.noaa.gov Hydrometeorological Prediction Center http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ Tropical Prediction Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ Ocean Prediction Center http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/ Climate Prediction Center http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ Storm Prediction Center http://www.spc.noaa.gov/ Aviation Weather Center http://aviationweather.gov/ Space Environment Center http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ncep/

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