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NPV vs likelihood of success - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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NPV vs likelihood of success
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  1. NPV vs likelihood of success

  2. Example: disguised Business Model assessment some high terminal-NPV options are negative for many years - Likelihood of success vs NPV - - Likelihood of Success (Index) - - - Photo Kiosk L1 (M) - 0 - 0 - - - - - - NPV - With Terminal Value (USD MM) Positive 5-Year NPV Negative 5-Year NPV Business Not Modeled Note: Bubble Size indicate 5-Year NPV