cops has built sinoterm a chinese multi regional model based on term
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CoPS has built SinoTERM: a Chinese multi-regional model based on TERM

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CoPS has built SinoTERM: a Chinese multi-regional model based on TERM. To investigate issues such as: regional development planning food security trade policy national/provincial financial relations energy/greenhouse policy internal migration

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cops has built sinoterm a chinese multi regional model based on term
CoPS has built SinoTERM: a Chinese multi-regional model based on TERM

To investigate issues such as:

  • regional development planning
  • food security
  • trade policy
  • national/provincial financial relations
  • energy/greenhouse policy
  • internal migration
  • cost/benefit analysis of transport infrastructure
china is the country most suited to term
China is the countrymost suited to TERM
  • Big: 30+ provinces
  • Regional Issues
  • Environmental problems
  • Important inland and hinterland regions
  • A tradition of planning
  • Fairly good technical and data resources
advantages of term framework for modelling china
Advantages of TERM framework for modelling China
  • The only way to model 30+ regions “bottom-up”
  • A data strategy which preserves commodity detail and delivers results in finite time.
  • Simulation-specific commodity aggregation to suit particular issues
  • Allows detailed representation of transport costs
    • Better roads in Anhui increase trade between Henan and Zhejiang.
slide4
30+ is a large number of regions for a CGE model

Climate change

Regional differences in industrial structure

Income from port activity servicing other regions

Transport costs

Regional Income differences

features of sinoterm
Features of SinoTERM
  • Database: size 31 provinces x 137 sectors
  • Based on 2002 Input-Output table, with agriculture disaggregated by CoPS
  • And using a variety of regional data
  • For simulations, usually aggregated to approx 31 provinces x 45 sectors
more features of sinoterm
More Features of SinoTERM
  • 2 household types: Rural and Urban
  • Future Improvements: additional equations and data to model:
    • more detail in energy and agriculture sectors
    • labour migration
    • direct taxation
    • transfers between provincial and central government
cops seeks chinese partners
CoPS seeks Chinese partners:
  • able to participate in model-building process, by gathering data and suggesting best modification of TERM equations to Chinese priorities.
  • able to locate funds either from Chinese or foreign sources.

CoPS has no independent funding to pursue this project.

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