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Basic Drivers Toward New Equilibrium. TechnologyNew and More Immediate Production and Distribution ChannelsDrive Toward Unit Sales and New TechnologyDeregulationNew Competitors Permitted in MarketsGlobal Reach and ExpansionDrive Toward Syndication of Content ConceptsAppetite of Capital MarketsPushing Expansion Beyond Logic?at times .
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1. Mass to Niche Media
2. Basic Drivers Toward New Equilibrium Technology
New and More Immediate Production and Distribution Channels
Drive Toward Unit Sales and New Technology
Deregulation
New Competitors Permitted in Markets
Global Reach and Expansion
Drive Toward Syndication of Content Concepts
Appetite of Capital Markets
Pushing Expansion Beyond Logic…at times
3. Explosion of Consumer Options Result?
Propagation of New Distribution Channels, but not more time nor advertiser pie – increased fragmentation of viewing audience and advertising dollars
Consumer product dollars (esp. DVD’s) pressuring competitive windows, increasing the cost and risk of products
Windows for low-end product to slide into diversified distribution channels
Threat to lock of traditional distribution companies/”banks”/portfolios
4. Consumer Good to Divisible, Editable Asset 1988 Sony buys CBS Records for $2 Bn
1992 Blockbuster starts expansion spree, as well as music retailers
1994 Blockbuster invests $1.25bn in Viacom, which then buys Blockbuster for $8.4bn
1996 CBS buys American Radio Systems for $2.6bn, owning 175 stations1988 Sony buys CBS Records for $2 Bn
1992 Blockbuster starts expansion spree, as well as music retailers
1994 Blockbuster invests $1.25bn in Viacom, which then buys Blockbuster for $8.4bn
1996 CBS buys American Radio Systems for $2.6bn, owning 175 stations
5. Adoption in the Mass Market Tipping Point
How does word of mouth really work?
How do you influence large numbers of people?
How do you influence the Right people?
Depends on Influencers, Connectors, Experts
6. “Economies of Scale” Advertising vs. subscription model
7. Magazine Market General Circulation vs. Niche
Subscription vs. Advertising
Initially lose money
Newsletters now can be Internet-distribution
8. Top 25 U.S. Magazines – Paid Circulation
9. Top 25 U.S. Magazines -- Advertising
10. Who is Advertising in These Magazines?
11. Who are They Really?
12. Top 10 and the Niche Segments What do the 10 powerhouses have in common?
And what does everyone else read?
(See articles)
13. Costs of Distribution Printing
Distribution – physical, relationships
DSI
Cost of customer acquisition
“Slotting fees”
14. Changes in Advertising Marketplace
15. Example – “Buying Women” Magazines
Cable
Lifetime
Oxygen
Internet
16. Example – Buying Kids Disney – for Disney – cross-promotion, movies, music
ToonDisney & Playhouse Disney – brand extensions
Nickelodeon – movie sourcing
Discovery Kids – NBC
WB Kids + Cartoon Network – boys
Noggin
17. Migrating Males
18. Where Have All the Young Men Gone? Disappearance of Young Males from Network TV
Computer games
2003 – daily video game use up 22%M18-34
G4 Media – G4techTV Cable
Sports
ESPN up slightly
19. Advertisers Concerned?
20. Long Term Impact?
21. Example – Scandal Sheets – going the other way Long history on radio and newspaper
National Enquirer and Star, US
Entertainment Tonight
People
Now syndicated on most major media
22. Example – Big Ticket News Network News – Big 3 – expensive infrastructure
Merging of news companies in long discussion
Local News – “Sweeps week” sensationalism; low cost
AP/ “UPI”/ Reuters
CNN – loss leader for Turner Broadcasting
CSPAN / Bloomberg – niche markets
MSNBC – Internet Bridge between MSN & NBC
23. Niche News Fox News – sold along with Men’s Channels
Initial loss leader
Niche news
G4 gaming news
E!
SportsCenter
Internet – further niches
The Onion
Slate
“zero” cost distribution
24. Music -- Cable MTV – initial loss-leader by Viacom
International launches
Major influencer of music purchase in US
Minimal cost of programming – videos provided
Shifted to reality and series
VH1
Fuse
Much Music
DMX
25. Top Cable Networks by Ratings 49% of HUT; 81% of cable households49% of HUT; 81% of cable households
26. Top Cable Networks by Revenue 49% of HUT; 81% of cable households49% of HUT; 81% of cable households
27. Reaching the US TV Consumer
28. Fragmented Competition: Number of US Cable & Satellite Channels
29. US Channels Available Doesn’t Materially Impact 14-19 Channels Watched
30. Network Concentrated Landscape
31. Defensive Strategies in Niche Markets Niche – adjacent niches – pre-empt competition
Buyers’ Power – aggregate to match up
E.g. Fox – Men’s channels
Radio – Clear Channel – surrounding the formats
32. Music -- Radio Traditional Radio – limited stations -- Closed loop – “own” format families
XM & Sirius (NFL & NHL on Sirius…sports expanse)
33. Local AND National Central programming of niche – Bakersfield from New York
New “Local Media”
Computerization of local content – bringing info back
34. Search Engines Mass Market with Customization – Niche
Yahoo – ability to customize ads
Communities & message boards – portal stickiness