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Learn about the history of South Carolina Republican primaries, past winners, remaining nominees, super PAC influence, electorate factors, and detailed results. Discover the implications of the primary standings and what lies ahead in Florida.
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South Carolina Primary Amber Lawyer
Primary history • Founded in 1980 • 1 of 13 open Republican primaries in the US • The Republican nominee has never lost South Carolina http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&sugexp
Past Republican Winners • 2008 John McCain 147,733 Votes - 33.15% • 2004 George W. Bush Uncontested • 2000 George W. Bush 53% • 1996 Bob Dole - 45% • 1992 George H. W. Bush 68% • 1988 George H. W. Bush - 49% • 1984Ronald Reagan - Uncontested • 1980 Ronald Reagan - 55%
The Build up Remaining Nominees Support • Mitt Romney (1) • Rick Santorum (1) • Newt Gingrich • Ron Paul • Romney- leading nominee. • Gains support of Governor Nikki Haley. • Huntsman endorses • Gingrich gains endorsement of Rick Perry
Build Up Cont. Conflict Super PACs • Romney’s financial situation • Gingrich’s ex-wife • Advertisements • Citizens United Supreme Court decision in 2010 allows for the funneling of money into political action committees. • Most money had been spent by super PACs for South Carolina • Romney has the largest super PAC (Restore Our Future) • Gingrich (Winning Our Future) • Rick Santorum (The Red, White and Blue Fund) • Ron Paul (Endorse Liberty)
Super PACs Cont. • Spent to vilify other candidates through advertisements • Romney spent the most per vote $30 • Gingrich spent much less but his Super PAC made up the difference $20.56 http://www.google.com/imgres?q=Super+PACS+for+the+4+republican+
http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/2012/01/ad-war-update-5.htmlhttp://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/2012/01/ad-war-update-5.html
HUGE FACTORS IN SOUTH CAROLINA • Super PAC spending • Two Debates • 53% of Primary voters made their decision in the last few days • Media swings toward Gingrich after debates • White Evangelicals • Make up 63% of the electorate
What is the electorate looking for? • To beat President Obama in November • To fix the economy • Independents (25%) • 49% Gingrich 41% Romney. • Out of 61%: 39%Gingrich 35% Romney • Gingrich 31% Paul 26% Romney 25%
Results South Carolina • 100% reporting • Newt Gingrich243,172 40.4% 23 • Mitt Romney 167,297 27.8% 2 • Rick Santorum 102,061 17.0% • Ron Paul 78,000 13.0% • Others 10,685 1.8%
Results cont. Newt Gingrich Mitt Romney • Middle of the pack • Affair scandal handled well at the debates • Rick Perry • Super PAC provided advertising money • Leader • Scrutiny of his personal finances • Pulls him away from middle class • Does poorly in debates
What does this mean? Standings http://race42012.com/
On to Florida Questions?