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S TOCK E STIMATE OF F ILIPINOS O VERSEAS

S TOCK E STIMATE OF F ILIPINOS O VERSEAS. Commission on Filipinos Overseas As of May 24, 2014. PHILIPPINE MIGRATION STATISTICS.

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S TOCK E STIMATE OF F ILIPINOS O VERSEAS

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  1. STOCK ESTIMATE OF FILIPINOS OVERSEAS Commission on Filipinos Overseas As of May 24, 2014

  2. PHILIPPINE MIGRATION STATISTICS “The Philippines has developed a sophisticated set of statistics about its citizens abroad, at least before migrants leave and when migrants are in host countries.” - Institute for Migration and Development, 2008

  3. COMMISSION ON FILIPINOS OVERSEAS The Commission on Filipinos Overseas is a government agency mandated to promote and uphold the interests of overseas Filipinos and preserve and strengthen ties their ties with the Motherland. - Batas Pambansa 79

  4. COMMISSION ON FILIPINOS OVERSEAS Programs and Services

  5. EMIGRANTS’ DATA FROM THE CFO Statistics on Registered Filipino Emigrants and Filipino Spouses and Other Partners of Foreign Nationals

  6. ADDITIONAL TYPES OF DATA FROM THE CFO • Statistics on Au Pair participants • Statistics on EVP (Exchange Visitors Program) Participants • Statistics on the ATN Cases handled by the CFO • Information on the amount of donations by overseas Filipinos and organizations

  7. LEGAL BASIS FOR CFO’S STOCK ESTIMATE OF FILIPINOS OVERSEAS • Legal basis for the computation of stock estimate – Foreign Service Circular No. 08-03 (when CFO was still under DFA) • “For the purpose of refining the national estimates of the stock of overseas Filipinos, all diplomatic posts are requested to submit their respective estimates on the no. of overseas Filipinos in their respective jurisdictions every semester “

  8. Historical background of CFO’s Stock Estimate • Since 1995, CFO has been preparing the stock estimate when CFO was still an attached agency of the Department of Foreign Affairs • CFO has been computing the stock estimate annually for 17 years

  9. Definition of CFO’s STOCK ESTIMATE OF FILIPINOS OVERSEAS Stock Estimate is the aggregate of all Philippine-born Filipinos residing or working overseas

  10. Sample of STOCK ESTIMATE OF FILIPINOS OVERSEAS

  11. SOURCES OF DATA • Emigrant registration data from CFO • OFW Deployment Data from POEA • Reports from Philippine Embassies and Consulates • Census of host country • From the number of passports issued • Reports on inter-marriages • Assistance-to-Nationals cases • Head Count

  12. GENERAL MIGRANT CATEGORIES • Permanent migrants - Filipino immigrants, legal permanent residents abroad, spouses of foreign nationals, naturalized citizens of their host country or dual citizens.  • Temporary Migrants - land-based and sea-based Filipino workers, intra-company transferees, students, trainees, entrepreneurs, businessmen, traders and others whose stay abroad is six month or more. • Irregular Migrants - Filipinos who are not properly documented, without valid residence or work permits, or who may be overstaying workers or tourists in a foreign country for six months or more

  13. Total: 9.4 million (as of December 2012 ) Temporary Migrants 4.3M (45%) Permanent Migrants 4.4M (47%) Irregular Migrants 0.70M (8%) GENERAL MIGRANT CATEGORIES

  14. GENERAL MIGRANT CATEGORIES

  15. TOP 10 DESTINATION COUNTRIES US (33%) Saudi Arabia (16%) Canada (7%) UAE (7%) Australia (4%) Malaysia (4%) Japan (3%) UK (2%) Hong Kong (2%) Kuwait (2%)

  16. METHODOLOGY where: • Ap is the overseas Filipino population at time P • Bt is the stock of Filipinos abroad as of time T • Ct..p is the total outflow of migrant Filipinos to the Philippines since time T until time P • Dt..p is the total return flow of migrant Filipinos to the Philippines since time T until time P Ap = Bt + Ct..p – Dt..p

  17. METHODOLOGY Ap = Bt + Ct..p – Dt..p Country X for 2010 = Permanent (2009 stock + 2010 CFO data) + Temporary (2009 stock + difference between 2010 and 2001 POEA data) + Irregular (data from the diplomatic post)

  18. METHODOLOGY Norway 2010 = Permanent (16,818 + 302) + Temporary (3513 + 50) + Irregular (0)

  19. WHAT ARE THE OTHER AGENCIES THAT GENERATE STOCK ESTIMATE?

  20. CHALLENGES AND ISSUES IN COMPUTING THE STOCK ESTIMATE 1) Lack of comprehensive and accurate data on returning migrants 2) The possibility of double counting of migrants 3) Difficulty of capturing Filipino migrants who changed status while outside the Philippines or who migrated to another country 4) Death of migrants is not factored in, in the statistical formula 5) Reliability of base data of stock estimate 6) Nonexistence of detailed disaggregated data on stock estimate by sex, age, profession, etc.

  21. CHALLENGES AND ISSUES IN COMPUTING THE STOCK ESTIMATE 7) Not strictly following the statistical formula for all countries due to data limitation  8) Absence of a single internationally accepted legal definition of international migrant and its categories 8) Difficulty in harmonizing different migration datasets produced by different agencies due to their individual mandates. DFA has their own version of overseas Filipinos and NSO has their own Survey on Overseas Filipinos

  22. LIMITATIONS/RESERVATIONS RE CURRENT STOCK ESTIMATES 1) Reliability of the base data 2) Possible double counting of migrants (esp. temporary migrants) 3) No comprehensive data on returning migrants 4) Death of migrants not factored in 5) Filipinos overseas changing status 6) Different methodology of diplomatic posts in computing the stock 7) CFO Stock, usually not the same figure with the DFA Stock and the NSO-Survey on overseas Filipinos 8) Stock does not have demographic information on overseas Filipinos (no gender, group age, or type of work disagreggation) 9) Using formula vs the actual estimate of the Philippine diplomatic posts

  23. RECOMMENDATIONS 1) Factor in computation, number of death and returning migrants 2) Coming up of a more reliable statistical formula 3) Systematic computation of stock by diplomatic posts 4) Harmonized data on stock from different government agencies 5) Approval of proposed operational framework on counting stock

  24. FINAL OVER-ALL RECOMMENDATION WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE LAW “PHILIPPINE STATISTICAL ACT” IN 2013 AND THE CREATION OF THE PHILIPPINE STATISTICAL AUTHORITY WITH ITS INTER-AGENCY COMMITTEE INCLUDING COMMITTEE ON MIGRATION, ALL THESE HARMONIZATION AND AGREEMENTS ON DEFINITIONS OF MIGRATION TERMS SHOULD BE ON TOP OF THE AGENDA OF THE ABOVE-MENTIONED COMMITTEE.

  25. Office of the President of the Philippines Commission on Filipinos Overseas Thank You and Good Day

  26. Proposed Operational Framework for Counting Overseas Filipinos OVERSEAS FILIPINOS A. Permanent B. Temporary 1. Immigrants D.14, D.15 1. Employment D.11, D.12 (excluding dependents) 2. Non-Employment b. Business (Corporate/ Government Expenses) a. OFWs D.11 a. Personal (Own Expense) 2. Immigrant Workers * 1. Education- Related/Trainings D.9, D.10 3. Dual Citizens 1. Education/Trainings/ Conf./Meetings D.9, D.10 b. Intra-Company Transferees D.11 2. Health-Related B.4 * 2. Marketing-/ Investment-Related B.5 4. Irregulars 3. Religion- Related (e.g., pilgrims) B.4 c. International Civil Servants D.12 3. Official Missions (e.g., bilateral negotiations) B.5 Legend * 4. Tourism/ Recreation/ Excursion B.3, B.4 Data Available 4. Diplomatic/Consular/ Military and their accompanying household C.6, C.7 Data Partly Available d. Irregulars 5. Visits to Friends/Relatives B.4 Data Not Available 5. Irregulars 6. Dependents of OFWs D.11, D.12 *The concept of Resident and Non-Resident OFWs is in line with international standards like the System of National Accounts (SNA) and the Balance of Payment (BOP). Note: Codes (e.g., B.3) inside the boxes refer to relevant classifications contained under Annex 2 of document entitled “Strategies for Developing Statistics on the International Migration of Workers” 7. Others (e.g.., asylum seekers) D.16, E.17, D.13 8. Irregulars

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