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Panka Babukova – master student in Management of the Hydro-climatic Resources

Faculty of Geology and Geography, Sofia University “St. Kliment Ohridski”. ACCESS TO FRESH SURFACE WATER UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE CASE STUDY: BLACK SEA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT, BULGARIA. Panka Babukova – master student in Management of the Hydro-climatic Resources.

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Panka Babukova – master student in Management of the Hydro-climatic Resources

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  1. Faculty of Geology and Geography, Sofia University “St. Kliment Ohridski” ACCESS TO FRESH SURFACE WATER UNDER CLIMATE CHANGECASE STUDY: BLACK SEA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT, BULGARIA Panka Babukova – master student in Management of the Hydro-climatic Resources

  2. CLIMATE CHANGE AFFECTING QUANTITY OF WATER RESOURCES

  3. ANNUAL PRECIPITATION CHANGE IN EUROPE 1990 - 2000 Source: http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/annual-precipitation-changes-in-europe-for-the-period-1900-2000

  4. PROJECTED CHANGE IN SUMMER PRECIPITATION TO 2080 Source: http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/projected-change-in-summer-precipitation-in-europe-up-to-2080

  5. BLACK SEA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICTIN BULGARIA

  6. Location Source: Water Management Plan, Black Sea WMD

  7. BLACK SEA WMD IN NUMBERS: • Area: 20 760 km² (18.7% of Bulgarian territory); • Population:1 339 999 persons /2007/ (17.5% of Bulgarian population); • GDP: 7 816 345 thousand BGN (15.8% of Bulgarian GDP); • GVA: 6 389 501 thousand BGN (15.8% of Bulgarian GVA). Source: Water Management Plan, Black Sea WMD

  8. ANTHROPOGENIC IMACT ON QUANTITY OF WATER RESOURCES

  9. MAIN WATER CONSUMERS Total used water (without cooling water) 2003 - 2007: 935345 thousand m³ Source: Water Management Plan, Black Sea WMD

  10. QUANTITATIVE STATE OF THE FRESH WATER RESOURCES Renewable freshwater /1930/31–2002/03/: • 2412,9.10^6m³; • 12, 5% from national resources; • 2 477 м³ per capita /2003/ /Lazarov, Ziapkov, 2003/.

  11. CLIMATE CHANGESIN THE REGION

  12. CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT: TEMPERATURE Source: Zlatunova D. Sustainable Water Use under Climate Change /Case Study in Bulgaria/

  13. CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT: PRECIPITATION Correlation value: 0, 52 Source: Zlatunova D. Sustainable Water Use under Climate Change /Case Study in Bulgaria/

  14. AVAILABLE FRESH WATER RESOURCES Extreme years with high and low water-level Source: Zlatunova D. Sustainable Water Use under Climate Change /Case Study in Bulgaria/

  15. AVAILABLE FRESH WATER RESOURCES Source: Zlatunova D. Sustainable Water Use under Climate Change /Case Study in Bulgaria/

  16. WATER LOSSESAND SUPPLY RESTRICTION Source: National Statistical Institute Bulgaria

  17. CONCLUSIONS AND PROGNOSIS Growing life standard Increase of urban population More water supplied population Increased irrigation water by 10% - 20% Industry remains in stagnation INCREASED WATER CONSUMPTION Positive temperature anomalies Periods of decreased precipitation DECREASE OF THE WATER RESOURCES Conflict People - Environment Conflict People - People

  18. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

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