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Unit 3 – Foreign Policy Analysis

Unit 3 – Foreign Policy Analysis. Foreign Policy Analysis. Foreign policy is designed to protect and promote the national interest abroad Domestic policy is designed to protect and promote the national interest within the country. National Interest. Promote a nation’s Security Stability

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Unit 3 – Foreign Policy Analysis

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  1. Unit 3 – Foreign Policy Analysis

  2. Foreign Policy Analysis • Foreign policy is designed to protect and promote the national interest abroad • Domestic policy is designed to protect and promote the national interest within the country

  3. National Interest Promote a nation’s • Security • Stability • Prosperity

  4. National Interest Promote a nation’s • Security • Stability • Prosperity In the domains of • Domestic • Regional • Global

  5. National Interest Promote a nation’s • Security • Stability • Prosperity In the domains of • Domestic • Regional • Global Identify threats to those interests, formulate policy

  6. National Interest Policy Matrix

  7. Foreign Policy Analysis • Differing Models of Foreign Policy Decision-making Analysis (FPDA) • Individual Decision-maker (cognitive paradigm) • Examine the decision-maker using one of several different approaches

  8. Decision-making variables

  9. Affect Decision-making variables

  10. Cognition Affect Decision-making variables

  11. Cognition Affect Personality Decision-making variables

  12. Cognition Affect Group Personality Decision-making variables

  13. Social Milieu Cognition Affect Group Personality Decision-making variables

  14. Social Milieu Cognition Affect Group Personality Time Decision-making variables

  15. Foreign Policy Analysis • Differing Models of Foreign Policy Decision-making Analysis (FPDA) • Individual Decision-maker (cognitive paradigm) • Examine the decision-maker using one of several different approaches • This approach costly in time and resources

  16. Foreign Policy Analysis • Differing Models of Foreign Policy Decision-making Analysis (FPDA) • Individual Decision-maker • Bureaucratic Model • Standard operating procedures • Turf battles

  17. Iraq War case

  18. Foreign Policy Analysis • Differing Models of Foreign Policy Decision-making Analysis (FPDA) • Individual Decision-maker • Bureaucratic Model • Neorealist Unitary Rational Actor model • Assume rationality, assume unity • Personalities and individual quirks are epiphenomenal • Focus on relative power status

  19. Unitary Rational Actor Black Box analogy

  20. Greenstein’s Criteria • When is it worth the time and resources to open the black box? Remember Occam’s razor “One should not increase, beyond what is necessary, the number of entities required to explain anything.”

  21. Greenstein’s Criteria • The actor occupies a strategic position • In an ambiguous or unstable situation • Where there are no clear precedents • Or spontaneous or especially effortful behavior is required.

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