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nicholas.novella@noaa.gov. Central America & Hispaniola Briefing. 31 August 2010. From: Aug 24 – Aug 30, 2010. Flores= 95 mm. Tegucigalpa= 80mm. San Jose= 93 mm. Guatemala= 168 mm. Puerto Barrios= 100 mm. La Union= 163 mm. Hurricane: “EARL” - Category 4 Min SFC P = 931mb(falling)
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nicholas.novella@noaa.gov Central America & Hispaniola Briefing 31 August 2010
From: Aug 24 – Aug 30, 2010 Flores= 95 mm Tegucigalpa= 80mm San Jose= 93 mm Guatemala= 168 mm Puerto Barrios= 100 mm La Union= 163 mm
Hurricane: “EARL” • - Category 4 • Min SFC P = 931mb(falling) • Sustained winds ~ 130mph (115kts) • In the last 3 days, models continued to shift EARL further west. • General trend (48hrs) – intensifying, after eyewall replacement cycle • Track shifting NW -> N in next 48hrs • Will encounter moderate shear env and cooler SST’s stabilize at Cat 3 weaken • Storm motion to accelerate and become extratropical after 72hrs after Ewrd shift of ST ridge and deep layer trof moves over NE US • Although close, still not expected to pose threat to Hispaniola on near term. • *** For US, much uncertainty ??
Tropical Storm: “FIONA” • Min SFC P = 1007 mb (falling) • Sustained winds ~ 40mph (35kts) • General trend (48hrs) – weakening • Encountering same shear env, likely to remain stable and weaken after next 48hrs. • Convective banding more disorganized, deepest in western semicircle • Likely to mimic NNWrly track of EARL, pass over waters mixed by EARL,
