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Macroeconomic Correlates of Organizational Growth

Macroeconomic Correlates of Organizational Growth. Rupert Rhodd, PhD William Lawrence, DBA. Outline of Presentation. Introduction Economic Growth Organizational Growth A Look at the Data Macroeconomic Variables Implications from Correlation Analysis Where do we go from Here?.

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Macroeconomic Correlates of Organizational Growth

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  1. Macroeconomic Correlates of Organizational Growth Rupert Rhodd, PhD William Lawrence, DBA

  2. Outline of Presentation • Introduction • Economic Growth • Organizational Growth • A Look at the Data • Macroeconomic Variables • Implications from Correlation Analysis • Where do we go from Here?

  3. A Crucial Question Do certain macroeconomic variables promote or impede organizational growth in Jamaica?

  4. Real GDP Growth

  5. Average Inflation rate

  6. Exchange Rate Variable

  7. Interest Rates: 6 Month T-Bills & Lending Rate

  8. Main Market: Firms listed = 84 Firms reporting losses = 49 Firms recovered = 25 Corporate growth strategies: Product diversification = 47 Mergers/Acquisitions = 23 International Expansion = 12 Vertical Integration = 8 JAMAICA STOCK EXCHANGE (1969-2011)

  9. Case Studies

  10. Company Growth Orientation

  11. CHANGING BUSINESS PORTFOLIOS • 1985 • BNS – banking • DG – brewed products, soft drinks, wines, spirits, printing • GLNR – newspapers, forms, books • 1990 • BNS – banking • DG – brewed products, soft drinks, wines, spirits, printing, exporters of agri products • GLNR – newspapers, forms, books, Gleaner UK • 1995 • BNS – banking, building society • DG – brewed products, soft drinks, wines, spirits, printing, exporters of agri products • GLNR - newspapers, forms, books, Gleaner UK, Gleaner N.A. • 2000 • BNS - banking, building society, insurance • DG – brewed products • GLNR - newspapers, forms, books, Gleaner UK, Gleaner N.A. • 2005 • BNS - banking, building society, insurance • DG – brewed products, Mktg UK • GLNR - newspapers, books, radio, Gleaner UK, Gleaner N.A. • 2010 • BNS - banking, building society, insurance, wealth • DG – brewed products, Mktg UK • GLNR - newspapers, radio, Gleaner UK, Gleaner N.A.

  12. Company Revenue Growth

  13. Company Return on Equity

  14. Descriptive Statistics N = 37 (Data from PIOJ and Company Annual Reports)

  15. Interest Rates and Exchange Rate as Correlates of Real Growth of Firm Revenues Revenue Growth Adjusted for inflation * p < .05, ** p < .01 N = 37, Spearman two tailed tests

  16. Interest Rates and Exchange Rate as Correlates of Return on Equity (ROE) Return On Equity (ROE) * p < .05, ** p < .01 N = 37, Spearman two tailed tests

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