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2009

ruseT-saqarTvelos urTierTobebi: momavlis perspeqtivebi momxsenebeli: Teona turaSvili politologiis instituti. 2009. struqtura. Sesavali mxareebis poziciebi mxareebis sisusteebi agvistos omis dros da Semdeg momavlis scenarebi romeli scenari? daskvna. Sesavali.

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2009

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  1. ruseT-saqarTvelos urTierTobebi: momavlis perspeqtivebimomxsenebeli: Teona turaSvilipolitologiis instituti 2009

  2. struqtura • Sesavali • mxareebis poziciebi • mxareebis sisusteebi agvistos omis dros da Semdeg • momavlis scenarebi • romeli scenari? • daskvna

  3. Sesavali • saqarTvelos dasavluri kursi da ruseTi • kulminacia – 2008 wlis omi

  4. mxareebis pozicia ruseTis poziciebi: • separatistuli reJimebis aRiareba • separatistebisTvis daxmareba • saqarTvelo, rogorc agresori

  5. mxareebis pozicia saqarTvelos poziciebi: • ruseTis qmedebebis dagmoba • saerTaSoriso damkvirveblebis aucilebloba • devnilebis dabruneba • eqvspunqtiani SeTanxmebis Sesruleba

  6. mxareebis miRwevebi ruseTi • regionSi poziciebis gamyareba • saqarTvelo - omis damwyebi • a.S.S-is poziciebis Seryeva regionSi

  7. mxareebis warumateblobebi ruseTi: • logikuri gegmis ararseboba • politikuri dasayrdenis sisuste • konfliqtis erT-erT mxared gaxdoma • CrdiloeT kavkasiis problema • partniorebis TavSekavebuloba • evropa da alternatiuli milsadenebi • ruseTis armiis problemebi • ekonomikuri zarali • konstruqciuli partniori?

  8. mxareebis warumateblobebi saqarTvelo: • teritoriuli danakargi • saxelmwifo institutebi • devnilebis raodenobis zrda • ekonomikuri ganviTarebis ukusvla • Selaxuli imiji • natoSi integraciis Seferxeba • saerTaSoriso misiebis gasvla

  9. momavlis scenarebi 1. urTierTobebis gamwvaveba da omi • separatistebis provokaciuli qmedebebi • dasavleTis pasiuroba • ruseTis mier Zalis Cveneba • reJimis CamoSlis survili

  10. momavlis scenarebi 2. urTierTobebis gaumjobeseba: ori varianti: a) ruseTis poziciebis Sesusteba b) saqarTvelos mxridan daTmoba

  11. momavlis scenarebi 3. dapirispirebis gagrZeleba • xalxebs Soris urTierTobebi • politikuri SeTanxmebis ver miRweva

  12. romeli scenari? I scenari: • medvedev–obamas Sexvedra • dasavleTis sifxizle

  13. romeli scenari? II-III scenari: • ruseTi-evropa – energetika • ruseT-a.S.S. - a) avRaneTi b) irani g) strategiuli iaraRis SeTanxmeba d) globaluri problemebi • ruseTis SesaZlo dasusteba • saqarTvelos demokratiuli reformebi • ruseTis miznebi

  14. daskvna ruseT-evrokavSiris, ruseT-a.S.S-is urTierTobebisa da saqarTvelos sagareo politikis mniSvneloba scenarebis ganviTarebaSi.

  15. gamoyenebuli literatura • Ivans Indans “Relations of Russia and Georgia: Developments and Future Prospects”, Baltic Security &Defence Review, Vol 9, 2007 • C.W Blandy, “Georgia and Russia: A Future Deterioration in Relations”, Defence Academy of the UK, July 2008 • Svante E. Cornell, Johanna Popjanevski, Niklas Nilsson “Russia’s War in Georgia: Causes and Implications for Georgia and the World”, Central Asia-Caucasus Institute, August 2008 • S. Neil MacFarlane “The Paradoxical Regional Implications of Russia’s Actions in Georgia” Chatham House, September 2008 • Rein Müllerson“The world after the Russia-Georgia war”, Open Democracy, September 2008

  16. didi madloba yuradRebisTvis!

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