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Operations Analysis Focus Group Kickoff Meeting September 18-19 AA HQ Dallas, TX December 2000 Deliverables (Russ Chew presentation to FFSC) Process Strawman for a key market Operations Analysis value of market (estimate of RPMs) Define system performance constraints

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operations analysis focus group

Operations Analysis Focus Group

Kickoff Meeting

September 18-19

AA HQ Dallas, TX

december 2000 deliverables russ chew presentation to ffsc
December 2000 Deliverables (Russ Chew presentation to FFSC)
  • Process Strawman for a key market
    • Operations Analysis
      • value of market (estimate of RPMs)
      • Define system performance constraints
      • Differentiate by en-route, terminal, and airport
    • Recommend Integrated Solutions
      • identify candidate operational enahancements
    • Develop Aggregate Business Case
  • Finalize schedule for follow-on activities
value of market
Value of Market
  • How to define market – importance of market
      • Revenue ($)
      • Passengers
      • Traffic (jet operations)
      • RPMs
  • Things to consider
      • Growth (GDP / Demand)
      • Capacity constraints
      • Schedule creep
  • Impact of RJ’s by market until 2005. – traffic mix . Paint the picture, but don’t include in analysis.
value of market action items due october 3rd
Value of MarketAction ItemsDue October 3rd
  • Assume top 100 markets
  • Get Data
    • Revenue, -- Joe Sinnott
    • Passengers, Joe Sinnott
    • RPM - Joe Sinnott
    • Traffic Joe Sinnott
    • Size of Delay Dave Richards, Joe Sinnott, Jady Handal,
      • Tell us what delay data is available, including data limitations. Use existing data and develop guidelines for better data collection
    • Block Creep Data. Kathleen to see what's out there. Lmi, NASA, DOT. Rose.
  • Telecon to review data and make decision on first market to evaluate
    • October 6th. 9AM PST. Allow 3 hours.
system performance constraints
System Performance Constraints
  • Use July 1999 data
    • not using 2000 data because of UAL pilot action
    • using July because DSR transition problems not an issue
  • Map delay vs. operations for July
  • Determine high delay days (I.e. “operationally challenged”) and correlate to ATC constraint
    • use UAL weather data
    • contact command center for ATC programs in effect
    • FAA Opsnet data may be able to categorize delay by cause
    • FAA outage databases
    • other data?
  • Compare ATC delay/cancellation information between good days and “operationally challenged” days
    • ASQP has cancellation data
  • Develop a process to prioritize problems and give to Integrated Solutions FG
system performance constraints action items
System Performance ConstraintsAction Items
  • Use July 1999 data
    • UAL and AAL to provide delay and cancellation data (Rose will talk to CO)
      • flight planned vs actual
    • Kathleen to get OAG data for market region
  • Map delay vs. operations for July
    • Kathleen will do
    • Compare ATC delay/cancellation information between good days and “operationally challenged” days
  • Determine high delay days and identify constraints
    • look for ATC-related delays only
    • airlines will take first cut in individually assessing constraints
    • C/AFT meeting to compare notes and reach consensus
    • Oct 24 pm - 26 in Seattle
  • Prioritize problems and give to Integrated Solutions FG
    • Will do this at October meeting.
potential data sources
Potential Data Sources
  • Revenue. DOT 10% ticket. MITRE< Database Products.
  • Passengers. Ditto
  • Traffic. CODAS.
  • OAG. Number of flights, ASM etc…, broken by carrier.
  • Delay level.
  • "GDP" of cities. Economic strength - like Boeing CMO
  • Average aircraft densities over regions - MITRE
  • TAF has enplanements and operations back into 80's.
  • LMI traffic growth
  • Fabricated OAG for RJs from MITRE
potential data sources8
Potential Data Sources
  • Airplane Total delay per market. CODAS, ETMS,
  • ATA ranking of hub airports by average passenger connection - ask Margaret Kim (Rose - the longer the connection time at a hub more likely that there are capacity issues at that location)
  • Schedule creep. NASA? In IG report on delays. MITRE? Hard to find schedule creep directly related to ATC. Duo Long. They did a study to look at O/D pairs with same equipment type and same airlines. Rose cautions that each 737 model, for example, has its own speed. American has done a study, 1997 - 2000. Can look overall at how block time has increased.
  • Initiative of secretary of transportation, focus is taking care of flying public. They might have some data.
potential data sources9
Potential Data Sources
  • FAA Choke Points -- Johnny Walker’s group
  • 03-05 Analysis -- formed basis of FFP2 activities.
  • LMI traffic growth studies