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Simple delayed effects modelsDistributed lag models and the Koyck transformationA review of the Partial Adjustment MechanismAutoregressive modelsAutoregressive Distributed Lag (ADL) modelsError Correction models (ECM). Dynamic model formulations. Yt = a b Xt-1 utChanges in X affect Y but with a known lag (in this case one period). Provided the length of the lag is known, or is easily established, this raises no new problems. Indeed it can be helpful from a forecasting point of 9456

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