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Mapping Poverty and Migration in Albania: A Spatial Analysis

This study explores poverty and migration patterns in Albania, highlighting the relationship and impact of different migration types on poverty levels. Analyzing district and commune migration flows, the research produces maps comparing poverty and migration distributions to identify key insights. Key findings suggest internal migration as a driving factor of poverty, with divergent impacts on urban and rural areas. The study recommends targeted poverty alleviation strategies to address migration-related poverty challenges.

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Mapping Poverty and Migration in Albania: A Spatial Analysis

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  1. Moving Away from PovertyA Spatial Analysis of Poverty and Migration in Albania Alberto ZezzaGero CarlettoBenjamin Davis Presented by Talip Kilic DECRG - PO, World Bank Tirana, 10 June 2008

  2. Objective • Explore the poverty migration nexus • Spatial relationship • Differentiate by types of migration • Methodology • Estimate district & commune migration flows • Produce migration maps and compare to poverty maps

  3. Outline • Background • Results/Maps • Absorption/Expulsion Indices • Comparison with Poverty Maps • Different Levels of Geo-Disaggregation • Conclusions

  4. Background • Poverty • 25.4% below poverty line • Highest incidence in rural areas and the North-East • Migration • International • 600,000+ permanent; plus temporary/seasonal • Internal • RuralUrban & UrbanUrban (Tirana and Coast)

  5. Migration Typologies • Mostly internal: North East – Mountain • Internal receivers & international senders: Tirana, Coast, Korce • International outflows: South, Malesi e Madhe, Kucove

  6. Data & Methodology • Data: 1989 & 2001 Population and Housing Censuses & 2002 Poverty Map (Small Area Est.) • Population balancing equation: • Expulsion index: Outflow/Pop89 • District level • Internal • International • Absorption index: Inflow/Pop01 • District & commune level

  7. Expulsion Poverty

  8. ExpulsionInternational Internal Poverty

  9. Migrationflows

  10. Absorption Poverty

  11. Absorption Poverty

  12. Simple correlations

  13. TiranaInflow Poverty 35% + New residents in the poorest areas!

  14. Conclusions/1 • Welfare and location important determinants • Internal ≠International • Poverty: Push factor for internal, constraint to international? • Fight poverty at source! • Urban: poverty higher among recent immigrants

  15. Conclusions (Cont’d) • Further research: • Causality • Sequencing • Return migration

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