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What's Happening In the Global Consciousness Project?

What's Happening In the Global Consciousness Project?. An overview of analytical findings and recent developments Roger Nelson, Director Peter Bancel, Principal Analyst Global Consciousness Project http://noosphere.princeton.edu. Structure Where there should be none.

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What's Happening In the Global Consciousness Project?

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  1. What's Happening In the Global Consciousness Project? An overview of analytical findings and recent developments Roger Nelson, Director Peter Bancel, Principal Analyst Global Consciousness Project http://noosphere.princeton.edu

  2. StructureWhere there should be none • There is “some there there” • Odds less than 1 in 1,000,000 • Two independent measures • Correlated response to events • Distance structure • Time structure • Psychological structure • Data anomalies vs selection • A sampling of explorations

  3. A World Spanning Network of REGs (EGGs)‏ Google Map of nodes http://noosphere.princeton.edu/egghosts/

  4. Internet transfer of data to Princeton It looks random: Combined dataFor a whole day, about 60 eggs

  5. We can see better what’s happening by Plotting cumulative deviations(2 - df)‏ Average cumulative deviationshown by the black dotted line

  6. Formal tests: First identify major events Then ask if there is a trend of accumulating deviations Figures show sequential history of a sample of Data collected in a pre-defined time period The test statistic is the terminal value

  7. September 11 2001 Destruction of the World Trade TowersA 50-hour trend followed the attacks Twodays

  8. Synchronized Meditation Half a million people aroud the world

  9. New Years Eve 1999-2008 (10 years  37 time zones) Average Variance Decrease

  10. Concatenate almost 10 years of formal data 250 rigorously defined global eventsOdds: Million to 1 against chance Small effect: The average Z-score is about 0.35

  11. Independent Statistics First order, S1, is called Netvar Second order, S2, is called Covar S1: S2:

  12. Event data contain Highly significant correlations S1+S2 S1 S2 Control data, 1000 Resamplings of Database

  13. Independent Measures Simulate Netvar with average effect Calculate Covar for same “events” Blue = random Netvar Red = random Covar

  14. Time structure: Sliding the “event” away From the actual event time produces Drop-off for both Netvar and Covar Dispersion = Netvar+Covar Event +/- 15 days Correlated measures Blue = Network Variance Red = Global Covariance

  15. Time structure Correlation of two independent measuresZ-scores maximal for events ~ 1-2 hours What might explain this?

  16. Distance Structure Independent measures, distance scale Both are driven by inter-reg correlation Blue: pair-product data in 1000 km bins Red: simulation in 7 event pseudo-sets Green line: regression fit to real data Blue line: regression fit simulation data Yellow: weighting for regression

  17. Psychology: Netvar and Covar Response Differs for Categories of events Blue = Netvar Red = Covar Gold = Relative DF

  18. Netvar and Covar Response Correlation in “Super” Categories Blue = Netvar Red = Covar Green = Correlation Gold = Relative DF

  19. ANOVA Interaction: Statistic x Category Event Data Simulation Data Blue = Netvar Red = Covar

  20. 2-Way ANOVA: Netvar and Covar Statistic by CategoryInteraction

  21. Explorations Daily Rhythm? Only exact 24 hour “day” shows Evidence of correlation with consciousness

  22. Explorations Long term trend suggests Searching for external correlates Social variable: Presidential Approval Raw Approval Rating 2 Parameter model fit F = a (value) + b (slope)‏ Red = polls Blue = data Red = polls Blue = data It is important to remember this is a correlation. There is no assertion of causation.

  23. All Earthquakes, Richter 6 or More Cumulative Deviation of Covariance Consciousness implied Premonition suggested Quakes on Land +/- 30 hours Controls (no humans affected)‏ Ocean Quakes +/- 30 hours Same trend, independent subsets Begin early ~ 8 hours before quake

  24. GCP/EGG ProjectThe people who make it go International collaboration of 100 Scientists, Artists, Friends, … Peter Bancel, Paris, professional analysis, collaboration William Treurniet, Canada, egganalysis programming John Walker, Switzerland, programming, general support Richard & Connie Adams, USA, general support Paul Bethke, USA, windows programming, network Dick Bierman, Netherlands, design and realtime display Dean Radin, USA, design and independent analysis Brad Anderson, USA, widget programming Taylor Jackson, Canada, realtime display maintenance Greg & Lefty Nelson, USA, program architecture, general support Fernando Rodríguez, Spain, egghosts google map Leane Roffey, USA, music, outreach, general support Jaroen Ruuward, Netherlands, realtime programming Dick Shoup, USA, independent analysis Nishith Singh, India, realtime programming Mahadeva Srinivasan, India, general support … And all the EGG hosts around the world

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