Part 2: CCIAV research perspectives in Europe

Part 2: CCIAV research perspectives in Europe FFCUL, Lisboa Martin König

The scientific content • Milestone on our mutual understanding of the scientific scope of CIRCLE partner programmes

Conclusions • different national research landscapes and geographical settings determine different scientific foci • still the majority of programmes puts emphasis on natural sciences, BUT shift is visible, most new programmes embrace socio-economic sciences • integration of adaptation measures gets more and more important • builds base for “complementarity search” leading towards joint/transnational activities

Programme management aspects • Milestone of our common understanding of programmes/projects and their management

Conclusions • for most cases: administrative settings allow transnational cooperation • some administrative problems to be solved for joint/transnational activities: • schedules of the programme (frequency of calls) • common evaluation procedure • mechanism on final decisions for funding • handling of common budgets • BUT for most of the programmes an internationalisation via ERA-Net is most welcome, so that “hurdles” will be overcome

Country-wise • Countries show very different approaches • The classical procedure in research related to adaptation measures should be: • Starting phase of impact assessments for certain sectors and/or regions • Full national impact assessment (regularly updated) • Derived from impact assessment:adaptation strategy (top-down/bottom-up) • Last step: national regionalised adaptation plan(s) for all relevant sectors

Israel • New national programme on climate impacts and adaptation measures in Israel just started • 2006 – 2008 • Budget not yet decided • Inventory of areas vulnerable to climate change impacts, adaptation measures (including practical steps) with foci on water infrastructure, coastal zone management, energy consumption and air pollution • Contact: Yeshayaho Bar-Or (Ybo@sviva.gov.il)

Italy • The EuroMediterranean Center for Climate Change • 2005/06 – open end • 27m EUR (2005-2007) • Climate change impacts on Italy and the Mediterranean as a whole as well as climate modelling and capacity building around the Mediterranean • The Center will serve as national excellence center for research on climate impacts and adaptation • Several institutions (like INGV, FEEM,…)will be bunched in the Center • Contact: Sergio Castellari (castellari@bo.ingv.it)

Portugal • SIAM: Climate Change in Portugal – Scenarios, Impacts and Adaptation Measures • That you know much better than I do ;-) • The SIAM project (co-ordinated by Filipe Santos) already issued a national impact assessment for Portugal (http://www.siam.fc.ul.pt/SIAM_Book) • Contact: Filipe Santos (fdsantos@oal.ul.pt)

France • GICC: Climate change management and related impacts • 1999-2003 (phase I), 2004-2008 (phase II) • Around 25m EUR • Promotion and development of French scientific research on identifying national impacts of Climate Change and associated physical mechanisms including adaptation measures • Contact: Eric Vindimian (Eric.VINDIMIAN@ecologie.gouv.fr) and Laurence Colinet (laurence.colinet@ecologie.gouv.fr)

Belgium • SPSD: Scientific Support Plan for a Sustainable Development Policy • 2001 – 2005 (SPSD II) • 7m EUR • Global Change, Ecosystems and Biodiversity with some regional focus on the North Sea and Antarctica (from precursor programme SPSD I); focussed on natural sciences, but with links to other areas covered by SPSD (e.g. sustainable consumption and production patterns) • Contact: Aline van der Werf (Aline.VANDERWERF@belspo.be)

Netherlands • KvR – Klimaat voor Ruimte and NRP CC • KvR is getting more and more from impacts towards adaptation measures with a focus on land use and planning • KvR is just starting now, while the former programme NRP CC (mainly focussed on climate impacts) has been finished • Contact: Kees Dorland (kees.dorland@falw.vu.nl)

Germany • DEKLIM and klimazwei • DEKLIM, the large climate research programme with 39m EUR budget has been finished more or less (with some remaining projects still running in 2006) • DEKLIM: Improving the understanding of the climate system including anthropogenic influences; Reducing uncertainties in analysis and forecasting; Developing and deriving strategies for dealing with climate change • The new national research programme (klimazwei) will go much more towards adaptation strategies • Contact: Annette Münzenberg (annette.muenzenberg@dlr.de)

Norway • NORKLIMA: Climate Change and Impacts in Norway • 2004 – 2011 (!) • 11-12m EUR/year • Climate Programme - Klimaprog, Climate Effects (KlimaEffekter) and Polar climate research with wide range of topics and focus on vulnerability assessments; Regional impact assessments are brought out under the sub-programme RegClim • Contact: Karine Hertzberg (kah@forskningsradet.no)

Sweden • Swedish Climate Modelling Resource(SCMR, former SWECLIM) and COPE • SCMR: 2003 – 2005 (phase II) • 9m EUR budget • Main focus are climate models and climate scenarios.But SCMR encompasses as well meteorology, hydrology and oceanography; the work is conducted in co-operation with a broad range of user and impact study areas • COPE: 2001 – 2005 • Awareness on climate impacts, policy issues, communication, legal aspects of impacts and adaptation • 1.8m EUR • Contact: Marianne Lilliesköld (Marianne.Lillieskold@naturvardsverket.se)

Finland • FINADAPT + the Academies’ project programme on climate change • Has set some important benchmarks for national adaptation strategies • Maybe one more word: No other European country has yet a national adaptation strategy. So, this is unique! • Next might be the UK • Contact: Tim Carter (tim.carter@ymparisto.fi) and Heli Karjalainen (heli.karjalainen@aka.fi)

Hungary • VAHAVA and Climate Change Action (CCA) programmes • 2003 – 2008 • Budget flexible • Impacts of and adaptation to climate change in Hungary in the frame of sustainable development • Contact: Sugárka Kelecsényi (kelecsenyi@mail.kvvm.hu)

Austria • proVision • proVision: 2004 – 2006 (option until 2013) • 12m EUR (2004 – 2006) • Sustainable development and global change(about 1/3 of the programme is dedicated to climate impacts and adaptation) • StartClim • Small programme with flexible budget and “research by emergency” approach for highlighting certain climate impacts • FloodRisk • Small programme with starting with first adaptation measures in the field of flood protection for the next phase (2006/07) • Contacts: Irene Gabriel (irene.gabriel@bmbwk.gv.at)and me (martin.koenig@umweltbundesamt.at)

CIRCLE observers (grey) • UK, Ireland, Denmark, Poland and Russian Federation act as observers within CIRCLE • Their programmes/contacts are described in the CIRCLE country report as well • It is obvious that eastern and south-eastern Europe is still some kind of white gap on our CIRCLE-landscape • Due to only very few existing national programmes • Due to still lacking research infrastructure • Due to the fact that we received no responses in many countries • We will work on it! For most EEC countries we have established at least some contacts

Non-CIRCLE member Spain and new CIRCLE observer Switzerland • In Spain, the ECCE project published recently an 800 pages preliminary impact assessment for Spain (http://www.mma.es/oecc/en_impactos2.htm) • In Switzerland, the NCCR-climate programme produces very valuable output mainly on impact assessments and climate modelling, while the OCCC acts as some kind of “national IPCC” for the Swiss government • Links: http://www.nccr-climate.unibe.ch/, http://www.occc.ch/, http://www.proclim.ch/

CCIAV-related projects in EU-FP5 • Within FP5 some 44 projects in the field of climate change (impacts, vulnerability and adaptation) • Among them very important projects founding the base of our common knowledge on climate impacts in Europe and beyond(e.g. PRUDENCE, ATEAM, STARDEX,…) • But within FP5 only three projects tackling adaptation measures directly

adaptation-related projects in EU-FP5 • ATLANTIS: Atlantic sea level rise – adaptation towards worst case scenarios • DINAS-COAST: vulnerability of coastal zones on different scales including an adaptation assessment module and • CCASHH: Climate Change and adaptation strategies for human health in Europehttp://www.euro.who.int/ccashh

CCIAV-related projects in EU-FP6 • Within FP6 some 28 projects in the field of climate change (impacts, vulnerability and adaptation) • Again very important projects which improve(d) the impact assessment base on different scales and for different sectors(e.g. ENSEMBLES, EURO-LIMPACS,…) • But just one project tackling adaptation: • NEWATER: adaptation of water management of the European river catchments under uncertainty and climate change

Adaptation effort for EU-FP7? Two ways: • “Just do it”-approach with acknowledgement to uncertainties and regular updates of the underlying impact assessments. This might be a bit risky, when certain patters switch (like e.g. gulf stream problem), but it comes in time. (like FINADAPT) • “be safe”-approach with putting furthermore emphasis on impact assessments and waiting until uncertainties are negligible. PROBLEM: It might become too late! • I prefer 1st approach much more, because research is obliged to deliver suggestions towards policy from rather sound existing impact assessments • And for this we urgently need transnational cooperation!

Part 2: CCIAV research perspectives in Europe