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DISASTER RESILIENCE: Supernatural Fulfillment of a Global Vision 2015 and Beyond

DISASTER RESILIENCE: Supernatural Fulfillment of a Global Vision 2015 and Beyond. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA . HISTORY IS FULL OF PEOPLE SAYING, “IT CAN’T BE DONE!”. SAILING ACROSS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AN AIRPLANE ACTUALLY FLYING

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DISASTER RESILIENCE: Supernatural Fulfillment of a Global Vision 2015 and Beyond

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  1. DISASTER RESILIENCE:Supernatural Fulfillment of a Global Vision 2015 and Beyond Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA 

  2. HISTORY IS FULL OF PEOPLE SAYING, “IT CAN’T BE DONE!” • SAILING ACROSS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN • AN AIRPLANE ACTUALLY FLYING • THE ELECTRIC LIGHT BULB • HEART SURGERY • THE FOUR MINUTE MILE WORLD • THE INTERNET • A DISASTER- RESILIENT WORLD

  3. THE HISTORIC CYCLE:1) BIRTH OF A VISION2) APPARENT DEATH OF THE VISION3) SUPERNATURAL FULFILLMENT OF THE VISION

  4. SO, LET’S TRY FOR ONE MORE:THE CHANGE OF PARADIGM THAT MOVES US TOWARDS GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE DURING 2015 and BEYOND

  5. SUCCESS IN ENERGIZING A POWERFUL NEW PARADIGM • Enlisting, equipping, and linking the minds, hearts, and spirits of professionals in every country will ensure endless energy and a continuum of “new ideas.”

  6. THE STATE OF THE WORLD BEFORE 2015 REALITY: A WORLD COMPRISED MOSTLY OF NON-DISASTER-RESILIENT COM-MUNITIES THAT PERSIST YEAR AFTER YEAR IN SPITE OF BEST EFFORTS REALITY: A WORLD WITH NO NET GAIN IN NATIONAL CAPACITY BUILDING FOR DISASTER RESILIENCCE YEAR AFTER YEAR

  7. REALITY: 200 Nations and 7+ Billion People Facing 900 Events per Year are Investing Over 6 Trillion Dollars Each Year in Urban Development and Billions in Education and Training Without Much Change in Disaster Resilience.

  8. REALITY:Each Year, approximately 900 Events Cause Exponentially Increasing Economic losses in the $ Hundreds of Billions With Large Tolls in Mortality, Morbidity, Homelessness and Loss of Quality of Life.

  9. A CHANGE OF PARADIGM: MOVING FROM THE CURRENT FAILED PARADIGM TO A NEW PARADIGM THAT IS DESIGNED TO PROVIDE 7+ BILLION PEOPLE WITH DISASTER-RESILIENCE DIVIDENDS

  10. A NEW PARADIGM FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE • GLOBAL PERSPECTIVES • GLOBAL PARTHERSHIPS • GLOBAL CAPACITY • GLOBAL DIVIDENDS FOR 7+ BILLION PEOPLE

  11. THE NEW PARADIGM GLOBAL CAPACITY FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE BY GLOBAL COMMUNITIES LINKED STRATEGICALLY AND TACTICALLY IN MIND, HEART, AND SPIRIT

  12. FRAMEWORK KNOWLEDGE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY! ALIGNMENT OF MINDS,HEARTS, AND SPIRITS! CHANGES IN THINKING! EDUCATIONAL AND TRAINING PROGRAMS THAT ALWAYS BUILD CAPACITY! FOUR PILLARS FOR CHANGE

  13. GLOBAL PERSPECTIVES GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE FUNCTIONAL NETWORKING CHANNELS INFORMATION NETWORKING CHANNELS GLOBAL PARTNERSHIPS ORGANIZATION NETWORKING CHANNELS PRIVATE SECTOR PUBLIC SECTOR GLOBAL CAPACITY ACADEMIA Stratec Consulting

  14. DESIGN: GLOBAL PERSPECTIVES • DISASTER RESILIENCE IN A WORLD WHERE… • NATURAL HAZARDS (E.G., FLOODS, SEVERE WINDSTORMS, EARTHQUAKES,…) ARE INEVITABLE AND DISASTERS OCCUR EVERY YEAR.

  15. DESIGN: GLOBAL PARTNERSHIPS (Continued) • STRATEGIC/TACTICAL CONNECTIVITY OF MINDS, HEARTS, AND SPIRITS BETWEEN NATIONS ON THE GOALS OF HEALTH CARE, SURVIVAL, AND SUSTAINABILI TY, AND - - -

  16. DESIGN: GLOBAL PARTNERSHIPS (continued) • - - - ECONOMIC ENTER-PRISE, ENERGY, EDUCATION, ENVIR-ONMENT, AND ECOLOGY

  17. PHYSICAL SCIENCES SOCIAL SCIENCE ENGINEERING SCIENCES HOW TO SUCCEED STRATEGIC GOAL: WORKING TOGETHER TO INCREASE CAPACITY IN EVERY COMMUNITY, NATION, AND REGION SUCCESS: ALIGNMENT OF MINDS, HEARTS, AND SPIRITS FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE IN EVERY COMMUNITY

  18. NO CAPACITY FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE DISASTER PRONE NOT BUILDING CAPACITY HOW TO FAIL GOALS: FACT: NO COMMUNITY CAN BECOME DISASTER RESILIENT WITHOUT AN ALIGNMENT OF MINDS, HEARTS, AND SPIRITS.

  19. ALL COMMUNITIES CAN BE LINKED STRATEGICALLY AND TACTICALLY SUB-SAHARA AFRICA CARIBBEAN BASIN EUROPE 200 NATIONS AND 7+ BILLION PEOPLE NORTH AMERICA MEDITER- RANEAN SOUTH AMERICA ISLAND NATIONS ASIA

  20. DESIGN: ALIGNMENT OF MINDS, HEARTS, AND SPIRITS FOR • PREPAREDNESS • PROTECTION • EARLY WARNING • EMERGENCY RESPONSE • RECOVERY AND RECONSTRUCTION

  21. COLLECT GLOBAL KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE TO DESIGN REALISTIC CAPACITY BUILDING SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORTATION CONSTRUCTION TECHNIQUES SEED BED FOR SURGES THAT MEET COMMUNITY NEEDS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION NATURAL & TECH. HAZARDS POLICY IMPLEMENTATION SUSTAINABLE ENTERPRISE

  22. A PLAN FOR GLOBAL SURGES - Perspectives On Science, Policy, And EDUC.

  23. THE AMERICAS CARIBBEAN BASIN ISLAND NATIONS EUROPE ASIA MEDITERRANEAN SUB-SAHARA AFRICA TOWARDS A NEW, ENERGETIC, POWERFUL, TACTICAL, AND STRATEGIC PARADIGM FOR GLOBAL DISASTER RESILIENCE A CONTINIUM OF GLOBAL DIVIDENDS FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

  24. GLOBAL POWER GLOBAL ALIGNMENT OF MINDS, HEARTS, AND SPIRITS THAT PENETRATE ALL SECTORS OF A COMMUNITY

  25. GLOBAL ENERGY A WELL- DESIGNED GLOBAL PROGRAM WILL HAVE INFINITE ENERGY LIKE A TSUNAMI OR THE STORM SURGEOF A MEGA-CYCLONE, TYPHOON, OR A HURRICANE

  26. TACTICAL SUCCESS • Planning for “right now” while designing “hope” in realistic plans to achieve disaster-resilience dividends in a global perspective.

  27. TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES Global Goal: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disaster Risks ISLAND NATIONS FOCUS ON PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS., (E.G., BUILD-ING CODES, EVACUATION) BUILD ON CULTURAL DIVERSITY OF NATIONS BUILD CAPACITY FOR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT DEVELOP BUSINESS ENTERPRISE TO BREAK POVERTY CYCLE IMPROVE COMMUNICATIONS TO REDUCE ISOLATION INCREASE RESILIENCE OF COMMUNITIES BY REDUCING VULMERABILITIES INCREASE AND IMPROVE PARTNERSHIPS IMPROVE PUBLIC EDUCATION AND AWARENESS

  28. TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES Global Goals: Focus on Solutions For Reduing Disaster Risks SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA EXPAND PUBLIC HEALTH CAPABILITIE S INCREASE PUBLIC AWARENESS REDUCE PHYSICAL, SOCIAL, AND ENTERPRISE VULNERABILITIES IMPROVE CAPACITY FOR PERFORMING LOSS ESTIMATIONS ACCELERATE EDUCATION (WITH FOCUS ON RISK REDUCTION TECHNIQUES ESTABLISH AN AFRICAN CENTER OF EXCELLENCE ON SUSTAINABILE DEVELOPMENT INCREASE CAPACITY TO MITIGATE DAMAGE/LOSS OF ECOLOGICAL SYSTEMS ESTABLISH SUB-REGIONAL CENTERS OF EXCELLENCE ON SUSTAINABILE DEVELOPMENT

  29. TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES GlobalGoal: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disaster Risks CARIBBEAN BASIN NATIONS IMPROVE PROFESSIONAL EDUCATION INCREASE PUBLIC AWARENESS OF SOCIAL AND PHYSICAL RISKS INCREASE UNDERSTANDING OF RISK REDUCTION IMPROVE ALL PHASES OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ASSESS AND REDUCE VULNERABILITIES ON ISLAND-SPECIFIC SCALES CONTINUE BUILDING BASIN-WIDE PARTNERSHIPS ASSESS AND REDUCE VULNERABILITIES ON COMMUNITY SCALES

  30. TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES Global Goal: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disaster Risks EUROPE ADVANCE SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRAMS IMPROVE EARLY WARNING AND EARLY RESPONSE IMPROVE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FROM THOUGHTS TO ACTIONS TO CHANGE POLICIES AND PRACTICES REDUCE VULNERABILITIES TO NATURAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE SOCIETAL DEVELOPMENT INCREASE PROTECTION OF PEOPLE AND CULTURAL HERITAGE CREATE A FORUM ON DISAS-TER RISK REDUCTION

  31. TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES Global Goal: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disaster Risks MEDITERRANEAN REGION ADVANCE SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRAMS INCREASE PUBLIC AWARENESS IMPROVE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT EMPOWER POLITICAL WILL TO IMPLEMENT AREGIONAL BUILDING CODE REDUCE VULNERABILITIES TO NATURAL AND TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS TOWARDS SUSTAINABLE URBAN DEVELOPMENT INCREASE PROTECTION OF PEOPLE AND CULTURAL HERITAGE CONTINUE IMPROVING PARTNERSHIPS FOR DISASTER RISK REDUCTION

  32. TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT REGIONS Global Goal: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disaster Risks ASIA FORMATION OF CENTERS OF EXCELLENCE IMPROVE PUBLIC AWARENESS IMPROVE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IMPROVE COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS SYSTEMSWork on REDUCE URBAN VULNERABILITIES IMPROVE MONITORING SYSTEMS IMPROVE DATA MANAGEMENT IMPROVE PREVENTION & MITIGATION STRATEGIES

  33. TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES Global Goal Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disaster Risks THE AMERICAS IMPROVE PUBLIC AWARENESS AND EDUCATION IMPROVE CAPABILITY TO AVOID DISASTERS AS PART OF LAND-USE PLANNING IMPROVE CAPABILITY TO MATCH STRUCTURAL DESIGN WITH HAZARD DEMAND IMPROVE HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION MODELS AND MAPS IMPROVE EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS, RESPONE, AND RECOVERY REDUCE URBAN VULNERABILITIES IMPROVE DISASTER SCENARIOS IMPROVE ENVIRONMENTAL VULNERABILITY AND RISK ASSESSMENTS

  34. TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES Global Goal: Focus on Solutions For Reducing Disaster Risks THE AMERICAS(CONTINUED) IMPROVE DATA COLLECTION AND MANAGEMENT IMPROVE MITIGATION AND PREPAREDNESS MODELS TO MANAGE RISK IMPROVE THE NEXT GENERATION OF BUILDING CODES AND STANDARDS IMPROVE PROCESS FOR SHARING KNOWLEDGE AND EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES IMPROVE UNDERSTANDING OF INTERACTION OF HAZARD AND BUILT ENVIRONMENTS EXPAND MULTIPLE EFFORTS IN CAPACITY BUILDING INCREASED COLLECTION AND SHARING OF KNOWLEDGE CLOSE “IMPLEMENTATION GAPS“

  35. TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES Global Goal: Focus on Success; FAILURE IS NOT AN OPTION! INNOVATIVE IMPLEMENTATION IS THE KEY COORDINATED GOVERNMENT POLICES, PRACTICES, AND LEGISLATION OUTREACH BY KNOWLEDGE PRODUCING ORGANIZATIONS COUNTER-DISASTER TRAINING OF RESPONSIBLE PERSONS IMPROVED TRANS-BORDER LINKAGES BETWEEN COUNTRIES PUBLIC AWARENESS TO GAIN SUPPORT FOR A SUSTAINED IMPLEMENTATION PROCESS IMPROVED LEVERAGING OF EXISTING INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENTS COORDINATED BUSINESS POLICIES AND PRACTICES COMMUNICATION!

  36. BOOK OF KNOWLEDGE - Perspectives On Science, Policy, And Change

  37. THE ULTIMATE MEASURE: “ ARE WE MORE DISASTER RESILIENT NOW THAN IN THE PAST?”Yes? Why? No? Why not?

  38. 900 EVENTS PER YEAR PROVIDE NEW KNOWLEDGE FLOODS COMMUNITY VULNERABILITIES SEVERE WINDSTORMS EARTHQUAKES/TSUNAMIS LACK OF TECHNICAL AND POLITICAL CAPACITY TO COPE DROUGHTS FAILURE TO USE GLOBAL KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCE LANDSLIDES WILDFIRES VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS TECHNOLOGICAL HAZARDS GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE ENVIRONMENTAL HAZARDS

  39. 2015’s CONTRIBUTION TO DISASTER KNOWLEDGE THE YEAR OF EL NINO’s WEAKENING NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR MAKING COMMUNITIES DISASTER RESILIENT WEAK HIRRUCANE SEASON STRONG TYPHOON SEASON NEW OPPOR-TUNITIES FOR BUILDING CAPACITY EARTHQUAKE QUIESENCE IN CALIFORNIA WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA, 2ND WORLD CONFERENCE ON DISASTER RISK REDUCT. GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE ISSUES

  40. 2014’s CONTRIBUTION TO DISASTER KNOWLEDGE THE YEAR OF EL NINO NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR MAKING COMMUNITIES DISASTER RESILIENT WEAK HURRICANE SEASON STRONG TYPHOON SEASON: VONGFONG NEW OPPOR-TUNITIES FOR BUILDING CAPACITY EARTHQUAKES IN ITCA AND CHINA VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS IN ICELAND AND JAPAN, FLOODS: USA, , … GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE ISSUES

  41. 2013’s CONTRIBUTION TO DISASTER KNOWLEDGE THE YEAR OF A WEAK EL NINO NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR MAKING COMMUNITIES DISASTER RESILIENT 20 ATLANTIC STORMS:10 HURRICANES, … 11 TYPHOONS: HAIYAN, … NEW OPPOR-TUNITIES FOR BUILDING CAPACITY EARTHQUAKES IN IRAN, CHINA, PHULIPPINES, . . . 2012’S JAPAN TSUNAMI TRASH REACHES USA TORNADO OUTBREAK: usa FLOODS: USA, … GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE

  42. 2012’s CONTRIBUTION TO DISASTER KNOWLEDGE A WEAK EL NINO NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR MAKING COMMUNITIES DISASTER RESILIENT 811 ATLANTIC STORMS: IHURRICANE SANDY … 23 STORMS./ TYPHOONS NEW OPPOR-TUNITIES FOR BUILDING CAPACITY EARTHQUAKE/T WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA, FLOODS: INDIA, AUSTRALIA , PAKISTAN, … POWER BLACKOUT IN INDIA

  43. 2011’s CONTRIBUTION TO DISASTER KNOWLEDGE A WEAK EL NINO NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR MAKING COMMUNITIES DISASTER RESILIENT 15 ATLANTIC STORMS: HURRICANE IRENE … 11 TYPHOONS: ROKE … NEW OPPOR-TUNITIES FOR BUILDING CAPACITY EARTHQUAKES IN JAPAN, NEW ZEALAND,. PAKISTAN. . WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA, GREECE,AND AUSTRALIA FLOODS: USA, AUSTRALIA… GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE

  44. 2010’s CONTRIBUTION TO DISASTER KNOWLEDGE A WEAK EL NINO NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR MAKING COMMUNITIES DISASTER RESILIENT 8 ATLANTIC STORMS: IDA; 8 PACIFIC STORMS: RICK, … 11 TYPHOONS: MORAKOT, KETSANA, PARMA, … NEW OPPOR-TUNITIES FOR BUILDING CAPACITY EARTHQUAKE IN HAITI LANDSLIDES IN CALIFORNIA, CHINA, PERU, TAIWAN FLOODS: USA, CHINA, NORTH KOREA, VIETNAM … OIL SPILL IN GULF OF MEXICO

  45. 2009’s CONTRIBUTION TO DISASTER KNOWLEDGE THE YEAR OF EL NINO NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR MAKING COMMUNITIES DISASTER RESILIENT 8 ATLANTIC STORMS: IDA; 8 PACIFIC STORMS: RICK, … 11 TYPHOONS: MORAKOT, KETSANA, PARMA, … NEW OPPOR-TUNITIES FOR BUILDING CAPACITY EARTHQUAKES IN ITALY, AM. SAMOA, AND INDONESIA WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA, GREECE,AND AUSTRALIA FLOODS: USA, ITALY, TURKEY, ENGLAND, … GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE

  46. TURNING POINTS FOR CHANGE S EDUCATION PENETRATES SOCIETY NE FROM IGNORANCE TO ENLIGHTENMENT PRINCIPLES FOR BUILDING A DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITY FROM APATHY TO EMPOWERMENT FROM BOUNDARIES TO SEAMLESS ENABLEMENT OF POLITICAL WILL

  47. 2008’s CONTRIBUTION TO DISASTER KNOWLEDGE CYCLONE NARGIS IN MYANMAR NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR MAKING COMMUNITIES DISASTER RESILIENT WENCHUAN, CHINA EARTHQUAKE FLOODS: MIDWESTERN USA NEW OPPOR-TUNITIES FOR BUILDING CAPACITY 16 ATLANTIC STORMS: FAY, GUSTAV, HANNA, IKE, … WILDFIRES IN CALIFORNIA ERUPTION OF VOLCANO CHAITEN, CHILE GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE

  48. 2007’s CONTRIBUTION TO DISASTER KNOWLEDGE GLOBAL FLOODS: CHINA, MEXICO, SE ASIA, USA, … NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR MAKING COMMUNITIES DISASTER RESILIENT EARTHQUAKES IN INDONESIA,PERU, JAPAN 14 TYPHOONS: MAN-YI, PABUK, SEPAT,,… NEW OPPOR-TUNITIES FOR BUILDING CAPACITY 17 ATLANTIC STORMS: DEAN, FELIX,WIPHA, … WILDFIRES IN EUROPE AND CALIFORNIA DROUGHTS; HEAT WAVES IN EUROPE, USA GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE

  49. 2006’s CONTRIBUTION TO DISASTER KNOWLEDGE THE YEAR OF EL NINO AND A BERMUDA HIGH NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR MAKING COMMUNITIES DISASTER RESILIENT 22 PACIFIC TYPHOONS: BILIS, PRAPIROON, SAOMAI FLOODS: ELBE, DANUBE, USA, N KOREA, MALAYSIA, CHINA NEW OPPOR-TUNITIES FOR BUILDING CAPACITY 9 ATLANTIC STORMS: HELENE, GORDON, … 13 CYCLONES: GLENDA, LARRY, MONICA, … QUAKES: GUJARAT, INDIA,; HAWAII, KAMCHATKA, … WILDFIRES: AUSTRALIA, CALIFORNIA

  50. 2005’s CONTRIBUTION TO DISASTER KNOWLEDGE 28 ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANES NEW KNOWLEDGE FOR MAKING COMMUNITIES DISASTER RESILIENT HURRICANES KATRINA, RITA, STAN, AND WILMA ERUPTION S: ILAMATEPEC IN El SALVADOR; MERAPI NEW OPPOR-TUNITIES FOR BUILDING CAPACITY PAKISTAN EARTHQUAKE 13 TYPHOONS: HAITANG, LONGWANG, MATSA, … FLOODS: ROMANIA, AUSTRIA, GERMANY, GUJARAT, … PORTUGAL WILDFIRES

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