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This paper explores the evolution and challenges of workforce development programs for the economically disadvantaged since the War on Poverty. It highlights key initiatives like CETA, JTPA, and WIA, examining their funding, structure, and effectiveness. The discussion includes an evaluation of what strategies have worked, insights gained from program variations, and text is provided on recent developments such as sectoral training and initiatives aimed at hard-to-employ populations. Despite challenges, it calls for renewed support for these essential programs.
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Going, Going...Gone? Workforce Development Programs for the Poor Since the War on Poverty Harry J. Holzer Georgetown University June 2012
Outline • Beginnings: Employment and Training in the War on Poverty • CETA: The High-Water Mark • JTPA and WIA: Devolving Programs, Shrinking Funding, Changing Labor Market • Beyond WIA: Important New Developments • Evaluation Evidence: What Works? • Conclusion
Beginnings: E and T in the War on Poverty • Before War on Poverty: MDTA, Response to Fears of Automation and Structural Unemployment • New Focus: Poor/Minorities • What was Done: 1) Job Corps; 2) Others: NYC, WIN, JOBS….$2B by end of LBJ years • Based on Little Evidence or Understanding • Opposition to Broader Program, but acknowledgement of diverse needs – Jobs as well as Skills
CETA: The High-Water Mark • Training: Classroom, OJT, subsidized work –Directly Funded by federal government • PSE Funding: First Countercyclical, then Structural (aimed at Disadvantaged) – Up to 2M by late 1970s • Other direct job creation: TJTC • Focus on Youth (YEDPA, YIEPP) and minorities • Funding: $18B (current $)
JTPA and WIA Years • JTPA: 1982; WIA: 1998; Not Reauthorized • Declining Funds (to $5B) • Devolution and Reorientation • Growing Doubts, Changing Economy
Doubts and Changing Economy • Doubts about Cost-Effectiveness of Training and DJC • Changing Economy: Growing Returns to Education and Achievement, and awareness of gaps – Training seen as weak substitute • Also: Support for Work Incentives, Worker Institutions – Little support from Left or Right
Devolution and Reorientation of JTPA and WIA • Elimination of PSE • Less Long-Term Training, More Services • More Universal – Less Disadvantaged • Employers – Dual Customer Focus • More Decentralized Structure – Local PICs and WIBs • Worker Choice (ITAs) • Dislocated as well as Disadvantaged
Beyond WIA • Shift from D of L to D of ED • Pell Grants! Now $35B – Much for Independent Students doing Vocational Education - But Few Services/Guidance and Low Completion Rates • Also: CTE, School to Work… • Remediation: I-BEST • TAACCCT and Other Grant Programs
Beyond WIA (Cont’d) • Sectoral Training: States and NFWS – Benefits to the Disadvantaged? • Incumbent Worker Training: States • Hard to Employ: Disconnected Mothers,Ex-Offenders and NCPs • ARRA: One-Time Increase
Evaluation Evidence • Huge Literature! • Experimental and Non-Experimental Approaches • JTPA, WIA v. Other Efforts • Very Different Populations, Programs • Training v. Direct Job Creation
JTPA and WIA • JTPA: National JTPA Study – Modest Effects for Adults (Women v. Men), Nothing for Youth, Fadeout • WIA: Nonexperimental (Heinrich et al., Andersson et al.) – Modest Effects for Adults, Little Fadeout so far
Sectoral Programs • PPV Study – Large Impacts, 2 Years Later • Year Up – Similar for Youth • Remaining Questions… • Caution: CET in San Jose v. Replication
Other Populations and Approaches • Welfare Recipients: NEWWS, etc. • Youth: Job Corps (Youth Build, YSCC); ChalleNGe, Youth Opportunities for out of school; Career Academies for in-school • Hard to Employ: Transitional Jobs • Community Colleges: Opening Doors (I-BEST)
Direct Job Creation • Expense, Substitution, Post-Program Impacts? • Results: Net Job Creation if carefully targeted; Post-Program Impacts only if intensive (NSW, TJ) • Tax Credits: TJTC, WOTC – Limited impact, little post-program (Hamersma) • Youth: YIEPP
Conclusion • Small Effects from Small Programs • One Size Doesn’t Fit All! • Sectoral Programs • Hard to Employ: TJs, finanicial incentives and supports • Youth: Paid Work Experience, Hi-quality CTE as pathway to Labor Market and/or Postsecondary Ed. • Not Just Higher Ed – Integration of Higher Ed and Workforce and Closer Alignment with Labor Demand
We’ve Learned Much Since War on Poverty… • Original Insights • Much Learned from Program Evolution and Experimentation/Evaluation • Deserves More Funding and Support, but with Realistic Expectations