lec 07 probability and bayes theorem n.
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Lec . 07 – Probability and Bayes’ Theorem. Today’s Outline. Probability a. Addition law b. Conditional probability 2. Baye s’ Theorem a. theory b. In class exercise c. Examples from the coastal geomorph literature d. Examples from YOUR field of research –

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slide2

Today’s Outline

Probability

a. Addition law

b. Conditional probability

2. Bayes’ Theorem

a. theory

b. In class exercise

c. Examples from the coastal geomorph literature

d. Examples from YOUR field of research –

(email me a .pdf before class on Thursday.)

slide8

In class exercise…

Write a MATLAB .m file that uses Bayes’ theorem to calculate the probability that a Xian-like, a Gulf of Tonkin-like, and a Java sea-like oil strike will occur in this concession.