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The Politics of United States Foreign Policy Chapter 7. Intelligence. 3 broad sets of activities: Data collection and analysis Counterintelligence Political and paramilitary intervention. Intelligence Cycle: Collectors, Producers and Consumers. Planning and direction Collection Processing
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Intelligence • 3 broad sets of activities: • Data collection and analysis • Counterintelligence • Political and paramilitary intervention
Intelligence Cycle: Collectors, Producers and Consumers • Planning and direction • Collection • Processing • Analysis and production • Dissemination
Three Types of Intelligence Organizations • Producers • Collection and processing • Research and development of equipment
The Major Organizations • NSA • Army, Navy and Air Force intelligence • National Reconnaissance Office and National Geospatial Intelligence Agency • Defense Intelligence Agency • State Department’s intelligence and research bureau • Other agencies • CIA • Office of National Intelligence
DOD Intelligence • NSA • NRO • DIA • Military services
Non-DOD intelligence • CIA • INR • FBI • Departments of Energy and Commerce • Office of National Intelligence
Intelligence History • Growth, expansion since 1920’s and 1930’s • Organization, leadership pre-2005 • Organization, leadership post-2005
Three Recurring Problems • Coordination • Producer-consumer problems • Variations in success
CIA • is big bureaucracy and 80% of activities are normal, routine, administrative and boring • main function: analysis of data • rarely initiates any major activity without Presidential consent • if operation goes awry – President can deny knowledge through “ plausible deniability” • congressional and executive oversight is stricter than 30 years ago but still many gray areas • even with end of Cold War, US still needs good intelligence on foreign countries and movements, terrorist groups, ethnic movements, nuclear developments, impending revolutions and economic intelligence
History of CIA • US does not have long experience with intelligence operations and by most account is not very good with them • CIA created in 1947 in national Security Act • 1950s – CIA flourished and expanded its activities • 1960s – not good decade for CIA • 1970s even worse than 1960s • 1980s CIA recovered under Reagan
CIA History: The Good Ol’ Days1947-Early 1970s • Ends justify the means • Presidential directives, containment • Director Allen Dulles • Activities: manipulating elections, organizing resistance, overthrowing foreign governments, assassinations, supporting friendly autocrats, training personnel, domestic operations
CIA History: The “Fall” and Reform1970s • Rockefeller Commission • Pike and Church committee investigations • 1980 Intelligence Oversight Act—committees
CIA history: resurgence1980s • William Casey • Rejuvenation • Expansion • Explosion of major operations
The Modern CIA: Post-Cold War and 9/11 • Purpose, budget • Loss of soviet enemy, direction • Failures of September 11, pre-war intelligence • Post 9/11 • Increase in covert operations • Scrutiny, reform
Subculture of CIA • Recruited mostly from Ivy League Schools • Historically agents have been white men • Overwhelming air of mystery but agency relaxing a little • Specters : Espionage Agents • Cowboys: Political and Paramilitary Operatives
CIA Covert Operations • Directorate of Operations – National Clandestine Service • Espionage • Covert intervention
Security and Democracy:The Dilemma of Intelligence • Threat perception • Independence v. accountability • Secrecy v. availability of information • Legitimacy of covert ops • Necessity or excessive? • Secret prisons, Abu Ghraib, etc.
Future of CIA • CIA is another instrument of fp. • Covert actions provide something more forceful than diplomacy but less dramatic than military intervention. • But does the agency need to provide same services or be reduced?