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In 2050, cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) continues to dominate, adapting to data and societal values. Complex interventions, like imagery rescripting and behavioral experiments, blur lines. Will CBT 2050 be data and value driven? Advances in mediational studies and stepped care push for more cost-effective cCBT and enhanced practices. With a focus on ethics, statistical support, and job planning, the future of CBT lies in a blend of tradition and innovation.
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The future is CBT • CBT to remain dominant amongst psychotherapies • Value of empiricism shared by society • CBT follows the data – we adapt • Develop, evaluate and re-brand interventions • Imagery rescripting from Gestalt Role of pharmacotherapy?
Philosophical basis of CBT • Form • Content & Process • Cognitive restructure • Two alternative theories & Behavioural Experiments to gain Knowlege • Act on data and understanding • Function • Pragmatism • Process • Mindfulness/distancing • Acceptance • Act on values
2050, NICE guidelines • RCTs and meta-analyses will not guide us on type of CBT • Danger of “Prizes for all” Dodo verdict unless RCTs are on chronic & severe • Disorders like depression are heterogenous • Complex interventions that overlap - even Behavioral Activation is complex! 1. Beck Activity Scheduling 2. Hopko / Richards 3. Martell 4. FAP enhanced BA 5. ACT
No team will win beliefs/values • Beliefs and values are like two sides of coin • Will CBT 2050 be data driven and value driven? Alternative understanding of the problem + Use behavioural experiment to support alternative + Defuse beliefs from the self + Act on values
Back to basics • Mediational Studies to determine process Difficult to conduct Power greater than RCTs Measure process or outcome Still need to determine which intervention • Single case series Uncommon submitted and published Scientist Practitioner – Ethics, Statistical support, Job plan?
What will happen • Format briefer more cost-effective cCBT more sophisticated (Avatars in home) Stepped care studies on failures of low intensity • Stigma less mental disorder • User rating adherence - fidelity • Euthanasia/ suicide easier • BABCP strong – not split • Prevention (parenting and early intervention) • DSM/ ICD diagnosis – sub-typing of form or trans-diagnostic processes?