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B usiness Optimism Index Qatar Q1 2009. Presented by Dun & Bradstreet Qatar Financial Centre (QFC) Authority Al Khalij Commercial Bank (al khaliji). Business Optimism Index. The D&B Business Optimism Index is recognized world over as a measures of the pulse of the business community

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B usiness optimism index qatar q1 2009

Business Optimism Index Qatar Q1 2009

Presented by Dun & BradstreetQatar Financial Centre (QFC) Authority Al Khalij Commercial Bank (al khaliji)


B usiness optimism index qatar q1 2009

Business Optimism Index

  • The D&B Business Optimism Index is recognized world over as a measures of the pulse of the business community

  • Expectation survey among 500 business owners and senior executives between 9th Nov and 23rd Nov for the quarter starting Jan 2009

  • Respondents questioned on their expectations for relevant business parameters

  • Also surveyed respondents regarding current business conditions vis-à-vis: impact of global financial crisis, investment plans, primary concerns etc.

  • Hydrocarbon sector survey conducted separately

  • Provides insights into the short-term outlook of the business community on investment, sales, profit growth etc

  • Analysis of major trends, outlook and issues concerning the business community


Business sentiments still healthy
Business sentiments still healthy

  • Drop from last quarter; Outlook still positive

  • Robust Sales and New Orders expectations

  • Sharp drop in Selling Price Index


Growth momentum intact
Growth momentum intact

Volume of Sales

New Orders

  • Demand levels expected to remain firm

  • Trading and Manufacturing units expect a strong quarter ahead

  • Sentiments in Finance and Real Estate sector hit by liquidity concerns


Profitability expectations modest
Profitability expectations modest

%

  • Trade, Transport & Hotels sector most upbeat

  • Positive sentiments in the Manufacturing and Real Estate sector

  • Financial enterprises treading cautiously


Cautious about costs
Cautious about costs

New Employees

Level of stock

  • New employment creation expected to pace down

  • Most new jobs in Trade, Transport and Hotels sector

  • Inventories expected to stay at last quarter levels


Downward pressure on prices
Downward pressure on prices

  • Significant drop in Selling Price Index across sectors

  • Majority keep their selling prices at last quarter levels


B usiness optimism index qatar q1 2009

Oil and Gas Sector

  • Energy Sector sentiments nosedive

  • Bleak Selling Price and Profits outlook

  • No new employment generation in the sector


Will global financial crisis affect business
Will global financial crisis Affect business?

Oil and Gas Sector

Non Hydrocarbon Sector

  • Global spread of the financial crisis hits confidence

  • Energy sector impacted most

  • One third of the non hydrocarbon economy feels pinched too


Holding back new investments
Holding back new Investments

Cost of Capital

Investment Plans

  • Divided outlook for the cost of capital

  • 49% units plan no Investments in the next quarter

  • Trade, Transport and Hotels sector continues to expand operations


Business concerns
Business Concerns

Non Hydrocarbon Sector

Oil and Gas Sector

  • Escalation in costs considered a major roadblock

  • Drop in global oil prices poses a serious concern for the oil and gas sector

  • Market volatility and competition cited as other business concerns


B usiness optimism index qatar q1 2009

Outlook for Q1 2009

  • Global Recession poses challenges to the Economy

  • Businesses expect to withstand the crisis with govt. support

  • Moderate growth in demand and profitability levels

  • Business units cautious regarding new commitment in light of market uncertainties

  • Inflationary pressures to ease