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Investment in HK

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  1. Investment in HK Lam Shing Yu 2008017786

  2. Outline • Statistical judgment on several example • Informative judgment on stock • One of my successful stock transaction based on information and statistical guess

  3. STATISTICAL JUDGMENT

  4. 1919.HK (中國遠洋控股股份有限公司)

  5. 1055.HK (中國南方航空股份有限公司)

  6. 0386.HK (中國石油化工股份有限公司)

  7. Comparison • All have long-term average crossed by rising short-term average • General trend proved have ability to reach high value • High trading volume • Reasonable P/E ratio

  8. INFORMATIVE JUDGMENT

  9. 1398.HK (中國工商銀行股份有限公司)

  10. Relating information to period of effect Short term (several days) Middle term (around a year) RMB will rise (I believe)  support price Some bad news may come out due to the new evaluation on loans to local government during 2009 The agreement on giving out loans to Greece by EU may have bad news due to rejection by respective parliament • Less expectation on increasing value of RMB soon  press down prices • European’s problem sounds at ease  less pessimisms in general market

  11. MY STORY

  12. 0729.HK (嘉盛控股)

  13. When? Why? How is the result? • Buy at $0.9at Jan 2010 1-25 • Why? • Li Ka Shing buy at $0.9 a month before •  Long-term guaranteed •  I don’t think he will be more stupid than me • When this news is first come out, price went to $1.53, but then it back to $1.05 – $1.30 • From both statistic view and informative judgment it is lucrative  Buy • Forecast: it may rise to $4-$5in short run

  14. Thank you for paying attention to my presentation Q&A SESSION