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Analyzing Foresight Exercises: Framework and Method Comparison

This presentation provides a comprehensive framework for analyzing your foresight exercises and comparing them to various foresight methods. It categorizes the analysis into objectives and contextual factors, employing specific indicators for deeper insights. Key profiles of several foresight methods are included, alongside a template to develop your own foresight exercise profile. Detailed discussion on indicators and methods like technology roadmapping, Delphi surveys, and scenario analysis offers a structured approach for effective foresight evaluation.

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Analyzing Foresight Exercises: Framework and Method Comparison

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Presentation Transcript

  1. Introduction to the presentation • Objective:To provide a framework to analyse yourforesight exercise and compare it to possible foresight methods. • ConceptA foresight exercise can be characterized by specific indicators and this profile can be compared with the profiles of foresight methods. Two main categories are used: The objectives of the foresight and the context in which the foresight takes place. Indicators are used for further specification. • PresentationThis presentation includes the profiles of several foresight methods and a template to create the profile of your foresight exercise (slide 4). In slides 2 and three, the indicators used are discussed.

  2. Objectives

  3. Context

  4. Internal HR SNT Function Institutional Management Distribution Network Socio-economic Usergroup Expertise Support Analysis Normative Specificity Time Budget Time horizon External HR Own foresight exercise • Activate the shaded areas by clicking on them • Go in editing mode by right mouse click and select [edit points] • Change the area by dragging a point to the specific level • Copy the shaded area by ctrl-c • Go to the relevant Spider diagram and paste (ctrl-v)

  5. Technology roadmapping

  6. Delphi survey

  7. Essays

  8. Scenario analysis

  9. Backcasting

  10. Panel discussions

  11. Desk research

  12. Consultation

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