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Climate Services and Disaster Risk Management and the Caribbean

Climate Services and Disaster Risk Management and the Caribbean. Lyndon Robertson Caribbean Disaster Emergency Management Agency May 27 , 2013 Trinidad. Regional Hazards – Establishing the Context. Compounding Effects of Climate Change and Variability.

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Climate Services and Disaster Risk Management and the Caribbean

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  1. Climate Services and Disaster Risk Management and the Caribbean Lyndon Robertson Caribbean Disaster Emergency Management Agency May 27 , 2013 Trinidad

  2. Regional Hazards – Establishing the Context Compounding Effects of Climate Change and Variability

  3. SLR and Coastal Erosion Sanchez, Petite Martinique April Floods (2011) St. Vincent Storm Surge, Palmiste Grenada,Hurricane Lenny, 1999 Soufriere St. Lucia, Hurricane Lenny, 1999

  4. Landslide – Marc, Saint Lucia (Hurricane Tomas 2010) Trinidad Flood event 2008

  5. Selected Hazard Impacts in the Caribbean Various sources: Collated by CDEMA

  6. Losses from Extreme Weather Events • 1979 – 2009 • repeated losses have resulted in damage to the estimated value of between US$700Million and 3.3 Billion dollars in direct and indirect costs from extreme weather events alone (IDB) Last Hurricane season Vulnerability to Natural Hazards Relative to Land Area (1970-1996- UNDRO, 2000) State Rank SVD 2 SKN 4 SLU 6 DOM 7 ANU 8 GND 9 JAM 19 TNT 20

  7. Caribbean Vulnerability-Climate Variability and Change Trends Avg annual air temp increase 0.5oC Sea level rise 10 cm per 100 yrs Generally drier conditions Increasing hurricane strength • Future Projections • 0.5-4.2 oC from 2010 to 2099 • Drier mid-year, wetter end of year • SLR - 35-50 cm over the next 50 yrs • less but more intense more intense tropical storms (10-20% wind speed increase) • The IPCC Fourth Assessment Report concluded that climate change is now a certainty, and that it has begun to affect the frequency, intensity, and length of many climate-related hazard events, such as floods, droughts, storms and extreme temperatures, thus increasing the need for additional timely and effective adaptation.

  8. CARICOF IN THE CONTEXT OF CDM

  9. Comprehensive Disaster Management (CDM) – The Caribbean Brand of Disaster Risk Management

  10. GOAL Regional Sustainable Development enhanced through CDM PURPOSE To strengthen regional, national and community level capacity for mitigation, management, and coordinated response to natural and technological hazards, and the effects of climate change. OUTCOME 1: Enhanced institutional support for CDM Program implementation at national and regional levels OUTCOME 2: An effective mechanism and programme for management of comprehensive disaster management knowledge has been established OUTCOME 3: Disaster Risk Management has been mainstreamed at national levels and incorporated into key sectors of national economies (including tourism, health agriculture and nutrition) OUTCOME 4: Enhanced community resilience in CDEMA Participating States to mitigate and respond to the adverse effects of climate change and disasters OUTPUTS OUTPUTS OUTPUTS OUTPUTS Enhanced CDM Framework CROSS CUTTING THEMES – ICT, GENDER …, Climate Change will be featured more prominently in the 2012- 2023 CDM Framework

  11. What currently exists? • National level coordination – Disaster Mangers and Meteorological Services • Analysis of Model outputs (precipitation, storm surge) to inform scenario planning and decision making • GIS capabilities at the national and regional levels to assist in HVA, planning and decision making • ICT Platform to support decision making DEWETRA – 2011 application

  12. Additional Benefits with CARICOF • Critical tool for supporting the mandates of National Disaster Organization • Seasonal Forecast – • What are we expecting? • Inform preparatory actions • Decision making on resource allocation • Enhanced Early Warning • Supports Mitigation and Prevention

  13. Key Issues and Opportunities • End user diversity - DM, Economic Sectors, Private Sector • Fulfill end user needs • What are information sharing requirements? • Redefining the role of Meteorological Services – Capacity implications?

  14. Key Issues and Opportunities • Implications for our mode of doing business - Institutional arrangements for sustained dialogue – Meteorological Services and Disaster Managers and fora for regular interfacing – ICT options – DEWETRA • CARICOF sustainability (initial resourcing – gradual move to revenue generation • Expanding expectation of CIMH as a Regional Climate Center

  15. Thank You! Contact Information Email: lyndon.robertson@cdema.org; Website: www.cdema.org;

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