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Potential Biomass Volumes From Forest Treatments in the West. Bryce Stokes National Program Leader Washington, DC ______ USDA Forest Service R&D. USDA Forest Service Jamie Barbour PNW Edward Bilek FPL William Elliot RMRS Dennis Ferguson RMRS Jeremy Fried PNW
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Potential Biomass Volumes From Forest Treatments in the West Bryce Stokes National Program Leader Washington, DC ______ USDA Forest Service R&D
USDA Forest Service Jamie Barbour PNW Edward Bilek FPL William Elliot RMRS Dennis Ferguson RMRS Jeremy Fried PNW Greg Liknes NCRS Dennis May NCRS Ron McRoberts NCRSPat Miles NCRS Sue Miller RMRSJeff Prestemon SRS Steve Reutebuch PNWBob Rummer SRS Wayne Shepperd RMRS Ken Skog FPLBryce Stokes WO John Vissage NCRS University Bruce Hartsough UCDGlen Murphy OSU Authors Partnership with the Western Forestry Leadership Coalition
What was needed? A strategic assessment of western forest biomass! How much? Where? What kind? Who owns it? Treatment opportunities? Potential yields? Small diameter utilization potential? Costs ?
The West – A BIG Place 129.6 million acres
Forest Inventory and Analysis Data Nation’s Forest Census 75 Year History Comprehensive and Geo-referenced Sampling Frame Nationally Consistent Sampling Protocols 5 Year Roll Up of National Statistics in RPA • Used combination of • periodical state and • annualized inventories • Extrapolation and data • synthesis • - Special analysis • Phase I is remote sensing; 1 plot • for 100 ha • Phase II is ground sampling; 1 • plot for 2200 ha • Phase III is intensive plots; 1 • plot for 38,500 ha
Totals (in millions): Timberland – 129.6 acres Biomass – 6855.0 dry tons
Biomass Analysis Acres and Volumes by • Condition Class • Stand Prescription Treatments (Used Stand Density Index) • Utilization (>7-in stem volume; <7-in stem, limbs, and tops) • Accessible • Terrain • Road • USED 60% ACCESSIBILITY
Condition Classes 1 – use prescribe fire 2 – some mechanical treatments 3 – mechanical treatments required Source: USFS Fire Sciences Laboratory
SDI Approach to Biomass Yields • Stand Density Index approach is: • Science-based (species and locality differences are considered) • Allows for retention of some small trees as well as the removal of trees in all dbh classes (e.g. sustainability) • Provides a conservative and balanced stocking distribution over large areas • Doesn't require development of detailed prescriptions for large areas • Allows flexibility (Don’t know where trees actually are, so any management system can be accommodated at local scales)
SDI Applied to Large Areas Courtesy Wayne Shepperd, RMRS
Totals (in millions): Treatable timberland – 96.9 acres Biomass – 6447.4 dry tons Potential yield – 2154.0 dry tons
Totals (in millions): Treatable Cond. 2&3– 66.9 acres Biomass – 4529.1 dry tons Potential yield – 1493.4 dry tons
Totals (in millions): Treatable Cond. 3– 28.5 acres Biomass – 1791.1 dry tons Potential yield – 576.1 dry tons
Small Diameter Utilization Potential Volume vs. number of trees!
Small Diameter Utilization Potential • Results • 245 million bdt of merchantable products • Annual Removal of 8-51 million bdt • Twice as much as current mill capacity for • Total 101 million bdt of non-merchantable biomass • Some MDF, OSB, and pulp capacity • Little energy capacity Potential Yield by Owner Condition Class 3
A big job AHEAD! • Total removal volume from Class 2 and 3 is nearly 40 times the annual conventional removal volume • The forest types and terrain are highly variable • Potential products and markets are also variable • Operations have to match the treatment and forest conditions as well as the product options See entire report on www.fs.fed.us/research/pdf/Western_final.pdf
New Biomass Analysis Tools • BioSum - PNW • Field Treatment Evaluator – FPL • Biomass Mapping Program – FIA & RSAC • Others
FIA plot & tree list data Data FIA BioSum: Full model Assumptions FVS/FFE Fuel treatment Rx Outputs Models Yield/efficacy Cut-tree lists Area treatable, cost, yield, efficacy, subsidy options… STHARVEST Tmt. assumptions On-site treatmentcost Optimization Plot location Best processing sites Haul cost processor Impedance layer Accumulation maps Cost & yield per plot/processing site combo Economic/policy thresholds