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Statistical uncertainty. Scenario Uncertainty. Recognised Ignorance. Total Ignorance. Four levels of uncertainty. It is complex!. Prudence. Rationality. Sensitivity. “Giving meaning to ‘things’ you cannot describe”. Self-organised Criticality (SOC). Return period T in years.
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Statistical uncertainty Scenario Uncertainty Recognised Ignorance Total Ignorance Four levels of uncertainty
Prudence Rationality Sensitivity “Giving meaning to ‘things’ you cannot describe”
Self-organised Criticality (SOC) Return period T in years
Effect Climate Change Standard Return period T in years
Three points approach Spatial planning and urban planning (thinking beyond the norms) Technical (sewer) facilities Day to day values Return period T in years
Three points approach • Innovative ideas for robust cities • Interaction with town planners, architects, designers, etc. • Integration on meso level • Interaction between water and sewer specialists • Collecting data (micro level) • Using models (macro level) • Taking tacit knowledge into account • Collecting stories on micro level • Bringing stories in into the meso level integration • Giving new stories (narratives) back to the people (residents, politicians, etc.) Return period T in years