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Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.) Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu December 8 th 2009. Solution “6-2-6” U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program. A Policy Recommendation to the State Department Office of East Asian and Pacific Affairs.

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Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.)

Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu

December 8th 2009

Solution “6-2-6”U.S. Strategy towards DPRK’s Nuclear Program

A Policy Recommendation to the State Department

Office of East Asian and Pacific Affairs

about us c r i s s maxwell school
About Us:C.R.I.S.S., Maxwell School

Crisis &

Risk

International

Services and

Solutions

content background policy outcome and conclusion
Content: Background, Policy Outcome and Conclusion
  • Background
    • Nuclear Crisis and

the Six-Party Talk

    • North Korea’s “Plan B”
  • Outcome Analysis of Solution “6-2-6”
    • Economic Impact
    • Political and Diplomatic Consequence
    • Social Issues
  • Conclusion

A satellite image of the North Korea nuclear facility

background information nuclear crisis and the six party talk
Background Information: Nuclear Crisis and the Six-Party Talk
  • DPRK and Its Nuclear Program
    • Political regime and foreign relations
    • Nuclear Program
    • Plan A and Plan B
  • Multilateralism
    • The “Six-Party” Talk
    • Five rounds from 2003 to 2007
  • Latest Development
    • DPRK’s withdrawal from SPT in April 2009
    • Current events
background information continued the six party multilateral negotiation
Background Information (continued): The “Six-Party” Multilateral Negotiation

North Korea (DPRK)

Russia

South Korea (ROK)

U.S.A.

China

Japan

outcome analysis i economic impact4
Outcome Analysis I: Economic Impact

North Korea’s Military Expense

outcome analysis ii political and diplomatic consequence
Outcome Analysis II:Political and Diplomatic Consequence
  • US’s Position:
    • NO Bilateral Talks
  • US alone cannot resolve the North Korean nuclear crisis
  • SPT: A better option than UN (General Assembly or Security Council)
  • New Administration:
    • Fresh Impetus
outcome analysis ii political and diplomatic impact2
Outcome Analysis II:Political and Diplomatic Impact

Major Stakeholders in the “Six-Party” Talk

outcome analysis ii political and diplomatic impact3
Outcome Analysis II:Political and Diplomatic Impact
  • China
    • Political and Economic Ties with DPRK – less security concern
    • Refugee Concern
    • Imagine Building
  • South Korea and Japan
    • Security Concern
    • Refugee Concern
    • Diplomatic Normalization
  • Russia
    • Limited Political Power
    • Balance China and Japan

North Korea

outcome analysis iii social issues
Outcome Analysis III:Social Issues
  • Refugees
  • Humanitarian Aid
  • Social differences
  • Human rights
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Crisis & Risk International Services and Solutions (C.R.I.S.S.)

Pedro Tichauer, Hyo-Jin Paik, Younghun Oh, Sinan Chu

Questions? December 7th 2009Maxwell School, Syracuse University