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Forest fire Forest Fire activity historically peaks during droughts One day with extreme fire danger can be catastrophi

Impacts of the Drought Forest fire Forest Fire activity historically peaks during droughts One day with extreme fire danger can be catastrophic Impacts of the Drought Forest fire Forest Fire activity historically peaks during droughts One day with extreme fire danger can be catastrophic

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Forest fire Forest Fire activity historically peaks during droughts One day with extreme fire danger can be catastrophi

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  1. Impacts of the Drought Forest fire Forest Fire activity historically peaks during droughts One day with extreme fire danger can be catastrophic

  2. Impacts of the Drought Forest fire Forest Fire activity historically peaks during droughts One day with extreme fire danger can be catastrophic

  3. Impacts of the Drought

  4. Fire Statistics Year 2002/03 1982/83 20 yr ave Number fires 855 878 618 Area burnt ha* 1,346,117 732,302 85,397 *includes fires burning forest, grassland as well as fires in border areas

  5. 855 fire this year 20 year average is 618

  6. Use of climate information - the risk of forest fire • I want to know about the wetting and drying of forests • past, current and predicted indicators are analysed • fire risk dynamics are profiled, probability/reliability • plans are made well in advance for specific outcomes • resources scheduled to deliver response as risk rises • wide range of fire preparedness and resource activities dictated by seasonal dryness • Ongoing uses - • prescribed burning - fire recovery activities - this season

  7. Drought Index Monitoring Nov-Dec 2002

  8. Environmental dryness - Stream flow changes Sept- Oct 2002

  9. Long term Rainfall

  10. Sometimes Rainfall & Temp probabilities are very persuasive

  11. How useful was the climate information? • climate guidance helps drive fire preparedness in droughts • Issues outside of guidance • rate of seasonal drying/dryness can change rapidly • intermittent rainfall patterns mask the actual dryness • long term rainfall deficit effects are very complex • droughts expose a different group of people to a fire risk • the ‘climate’ of human risk changing • - urban spread into forests • - more forest based recreation

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