Enp and the german eu presidency progress or stalemate
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ENP and the German EU Presidency: Progress or Stalemate?. Petr Kratochvíl Institute of International Relations, Prague. ENP – Introductory Remarks. Young policy, yet quickly maturing Familiar tensions East vs. South Enlargement substitute vs. pre-enlargement policy

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ENP and the German EU Presidency: Progress or Stalemate?

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Enp and the german eu presidency progress or stalemate

ENP and the German EU Presidency:Progress or Stalemate?

Petr Kratochvíl

Institute of International Relations, Prague


Enp introductory remarks

ENP – Introductory Remarks

  • Young policy, yet quickly maturing

  • Familiar tensions

    • East vs. South

    • Enlargement substitute vs. pre-enlargement policy

  • First signs of stabilisation

    • Geographic scope

    • Instruments used

    • Known carrots offered and reforms required (Action Plans)


Expectations from germany

Expectations from Germany

  • Regarding the ENP

    • Neue Ostpolitik

    • Changing the EC´s approach

    • New institutional structure

    • Higher financial allocations for the Eastern ENP countries

  • Regarding the wider Eastern policy

    • Replacement of PCA with Russia

    • New strategy for Central Asia


Major disappointments

Major Disappointments

  • Overestimation of Germany´s power to forge EU´s eastern policy

    • No institutional change

    • No preference for the East in financial terms

    • Momentum lost at the start of Presidency

  • Flawed Central Asia strategy

    • Attempts at removing sanctions

    • Missing leverage over highly undemocratic regimes


Major achievements

Major Achievements

  • Improved relations with Ukraine

    • Negotiations on a new agreement

    • Visa-facilitation

    • More financial means from the EC

  • Better balance between Russia and ENP countries

    • Internal reshuffling in German politics

    • End of „Russia-first“ approach

    • More unified stance in Samara


Contentious issues

Contentious Issues

  • Unknown evolution of relations with Russia

  • Little progress in multilateral energy dialogue

  • Unclear link between the ENP and Russia

  • Discord among advocates of the East (moderates vs. radicals)


Conclusion

Conclusion

  • Germany relatively successful

  • Need for coalition-building and better coordination

  • No change in the East-South division in the short term

  • No new impulses for the East until 2009


Thank you

Thank you.


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