Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause
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Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause. Bill Randel Atmospheric Chemistry Division NCAR. Tropopause is most simply identified by a change in stability (lapse rate). tropical tropopause. midlatitude tropopause. Latitudinal structure of the tropopause.

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Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

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Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

Requirements for monitoringthe global tropopause

Bill Randel

Atmospheric Chemistry Division

NCAR


Tropopause is most simply identified by a change in stability lapse rate

Tropopause is most simply identified bya change in stability (lapse rate)

tropical

tropopause

midlatitude

tropopause


Latitudinal structure of the tropopause

Latitudinal structure of the tropopause


Tropopause separates air masses with different dynamical and chemical characteristics

Tropopause separates air masses with differentdynamical and chemical characteristics

Ozone


Definitions of the tropopause

definitions of the tropopause

  • Lapse rate tropopause (WMO definition)

  • Cold point (most relevant in the tropics)

  • Specific value of potential vorticity (PV=2)

    advantage: continuously valued, useful for dynamics/transport studies

    disadvantage: requires meteorological analysis;

    cannot calculate from temp profiles alone


What are the science issues re tropopause and climate

What are the science issues re: tropopause and climate?

  • Is the tropopause a sensitive indicator of climate change?

    (if so, what parameters?)

  • How is the tropopause related to long-term ozone variability?


Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

Contributions of Anthropogenic and Natural Forcing to

Recent Tropopause Height ChangesSanter et al. Science, July 2003

increase in

global

tropopause

height

of ~0.2 km


Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

Spatial ‘fingerprint’ oftropopause changes

observations

(NCEP data)

decrease in

tropopause

pressure

(increase in

altitude)

climate model

with changing

CO2, ozone,

aerosols, ...


Caveat vertical resolution of models and some observations can be 2 km

caveat: vertical resolution of modelsand (some) observations can be ~2 km

~ 2 km


Correlation of ozone and tropopause height on short and long time scales

Correlation of ozone and tropopause height on short and long time scales

column ozone and

tropopause height

at Hohenpeissenberg

WMO, 2002

updated from

Steinbrect et al 2001


What are the requirements to monitor the tropopause

What are the requirements to monitor the tropopause?

  • Key point is vertical resolution (plus spatial sampling)

    compare statistics for different measurements:

    * radiosondes

    * GPS radio occultation (GPS/MET, CHAMP, SAC-C)

    * operational analyses / reanalyses (ERA40, NCEP)


High resolution radiosonde profile

High resolution radiosonde profile


Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

statistical distribution of tropopause heights

from radiosondes at Pittsburgh 1994-2003

January

note two maxima


Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

seasonal variation at Pittsburgh 1994-2003

January

July


Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

lowest tropopause at Pittsburgh 1994-2003

January

July


Seasonal cycle in tropopause height

seasonal cycle in tropopause height


How do tropopause statistics depend on vertical resolution

How do tropopause statistics depend on vertical resolution?

GPS

radiosondes


Sondes vs era40 and ncep

Sondes vs. ERA40 and NCEP

radiosonde

ERA40

(60-level)

NCEP

(17-level)


Tropopause statistics from reanalyses

Tropopause statistics from reanalyses

ERA40 (60-level)

radiosondes

NCEP (17-level)

note lower

resolution


Seasonal variation from different data sources

seasonal variation from different data sources


Other statistics occurrence of multiple tropopauses

Other statistics: occurrence of multiple tropopauses

example from GPS data


Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

double tropopause associated with break

near subtropical jet

tropopause

from aircraft

profiler

measurements

potential

vorticity

(from analysis)

zonal wind

(from analysis)

from Pan et al., JGR, 2004


Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

aircraft

ozone

measurements

tropopause break associated

with stratospheric intrusion


Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

seasonal variation of profiles with multiple tropopauses

radiosondes

GPS


Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

Spatial pattern of multiple tropopauses from GPS data

January


Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

occurence of

multiple tropopauses

in January

ERA40

GPS

NCEP

undersampled by

lower resolution


Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

long-term variability in occurrence of

multiple tropopauses

fraction of soundings

with multiple

tropopause


Requirements for monitoring the global tropopause

long-term variability in occurrence of

multiple tropopauses

fraction of soundings

with multiple

tropopause

number of levels

in sounding


Key points

Key points:

  • Vertical resolution important for tropopause statistics

    (anticipated changes are small...0.1 km/decade)

  • Similar statistics derived from radiosondes, GPS

    and 60-level ERA40 data (resolution ~0.5 – 1.0 km)

  • Lower resolution analyses (~ 2 km) undersample variability

  • Tropopause closely linked to ozone variability

  • Homogenity of data records will likely influence statistics


Increased vertical resolution after 1995

Increased vertical resolution after ~1995

high resolution

lower resolution


12 km snapshot of ozone from mozart3

12 km ‘snapshot’ of ozone from MOZART3

Courtesy Doug Kinnison


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