CPC Drought Forecasting and NIDIS . Douglas Le Comte NOAA/CPC 5 th U.S. Drought Monitor Forum Portland, Oregon October 10-11, 2007. Outline. Overview of how the CPC Outlook is put together Recent changes to the Drought Outlook Verification: How are we doing?
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Douglas Le Comte
5th U.S. Drought Monitor Forum
October 10-11, 2007
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/seasonal_drought.htmlhttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/seasonal_drought.htmlLatest Seasonal Drought Outlook
2-Wk Soil Moisture
Constructed Analogue Soil Model
Long-term mean = 13%
based on NAEFs
Ensemble Streamflow Prediction
Coupled Forecast System
http://www.hydro.washington.edu/forecast/monitor/outlook/index.shtmlhttp://www.hydro.washington.edu/forecast/monitor/outlook/index.shtmlUniversity of Washington Forecasts