1 / 6

Hawkish Federal Reserve and Inverted Yield Curve Point to a Recession

The U.S. Federal Reserve was late to the inflation taming party and has had to raise its key lending rate at a torrid pace since the start of 2022 to curb decades-high inflation. Most people forget, but in the first quarter of 2022, the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at around zero.<br>Throughout the remainder of 2022 though, the central banku00a0raisedu00a0the federal funds rate seven times, by nearly five percentage points, from a range of 0% to 0.25% to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%. Inu00a0Februaryu00a0of 2023, the U.S. Federal Reserve raised its key lending rate by an additional 25 basis points to

Greg18
Download Presentation

Hawkish Federal Reserve and Inverted Yield Curve Point to a Recession

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. 416-510 5560 info@learn-to-trade.com Hawkish Federal Reserve and Inverted Yield Curve Point to a Recession

  2. Hawkish Federal Reserve and Inverted Yield Curve Point to a Recession The U.S. Federal Reserve was late to the inflation taming party and has had to raise its key lending rate at a torrid pace since the start of 2022 to curb decades-high inflation. Most people forget, but in the first quarter of 2022, the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at around zero. Throughout the remainder of 2022 though, the central bank raised the federal funds rate seven times, by nearly five percentage points, from a range of 0% to 0.25% to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%. In February of 2023, the U.S. Federal Reserve raised its key lending rate by an additional 25 basis points to a range of 4.50% to 4.75%.

  3. Is the Federal Reserve Going to Continue Raising Interest Rates? Inflation still remains stubbornly high, which means the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates in 2023, faster and higher than anyone expected. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said recently that inflation may be moderating, but the process of getting inflation under control “has a long way to go and is likely to be bumpy.” The latest Consumer Price Index shows that prices climbed 6.4% year-over-year in January. That’s down from last summer’s peak inflation of 9.1%, but way above the Fed’s 2% target. Back in December, the Fed said it would probably need to rise interest rates to a range of 5.0% to 5.25%.

  4. What Is an Inverted Yield Curve ? Hawkish comments by Jerome Powell have helped push the U.S. Treasury yield curve to its deepest inversion since 1981—a bullish recessionary signal. The yield curve typically slopes upward as the payout increases over time. Like a dividend, the yield moves inversely to prices. The higher the price, the lower the dividend. A steepening yield curve typically points to stronger sentiment for the economy, higher inflation, and interest rates. A flattening curve, meanwhile, means investors expect near-term rate hikes and are pessimistic about economic growth. Link:- https://learn-to-trade.com/hawkish-federal-reserve-and-inverted-yield-curve-point-to-a-recession/

  5. 416-510 5560 info@learn-to-trade.com 885 Don Mills Road, Suite 200 Toronto, Ontario M3C 1V9 Canada

  6. Thank you

More Related