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Patrick FAY CRU. Acome’s 14 th Symposium: Data and Telecom Networks St. Petersburg, Russia May 29-June 2, 2014. Global Optical Cable Developments. Patrick Fay CRU International. 253 Million km of Cabled Fiber Installed in 2013. Annual M F-km. Annual M F-km.

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global optical cable developments

Acome’s 14th Symposium:

Data and Telecom Networks

St. Petersburg, Russia May 29-June 2, 2014

Global Optical Cable Developments

Patrick Fay

CRU International

253 million km of cabled fiber installed in 2013
253 Million km of Cabled Fiber Installed in 2013

Annual M F-km

Annual M F-km

  • R.O.W – Rest of World: Data: CRU International

Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia

twenty five countries with 1 m f km 89 of ww s m demand
Twenty-five countries with > 1 M f-km = 89% of WW S-M Demand

Four Countries Account for 2/3 of Global S-M Fibre Demand in 2013, 249.1 M f-km

122

Next Seven

Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia

cumulative s m fibre installed per hh for 23 countries
Cumulative S-M Fibre Installed per HH for 23 Countries

1fkm/hh

Pace of Growth of Installed Base/HH is Mixed: Bars Show Number of Years at Each Level

2fkm/hh

3fkm/hh

4fkm/hh

5fkm/hh

6fkm/hh

  • Data – CRU International, ITU

Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia

annual fttx demand by major region 08 13

Legend

N. Am.

Annual FTTx Demand by Major Region, ‘08-’13

Europe

China

Oth. A-P

R.O.W.

  • Cabled-fibre Demand, M f-m
  • Data: CRU International

Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia

slide7
G.652.C/D Fibre Eclipses G.652.A/B in 2006 on Strength of FTTH Demand and Introduction of Merchant Preforms

M f-km

Data CRU International

Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia

fibre optic cable demand by fibre km in 2013
Fibre Optic Cable Demand by Fibre-km in 2013

Ribbon Usage Within Region

Major Cable Demand by Design

  • Data: CRU International

Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia

price example 48 fibre armored cable in asia and smf
Price Example: 48-Fibre Armored Cable in Asia and SMF

US$ fibre-metre

Data: Trade Data, CRU International

Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia

comments on q1 2014 developments
Comments on Q1 2014 Developments

Demand factors:

  • NA Shipments are up 15% year-on-year. NA demand up 24%
  • China demand is up 14%
  • European demand is up 11%
  • Global demand is up 13%

Fibre Pricing:

  • World fibre shipments up 13% in Q1 2014
  • Mix of low quarterly installations in 2013, fibre stock build-up in 2013 and capacity coming on line is contributing to low prices in China
  • Joint ventures and facilities in other regions adding to capacity

Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia

cru s wire and cable team
CRU’s Wire and Cable Team

Three full-time analysts plus research staff

Patrick Fay

Industry analyst covering:

optical fiber, cable, telecom networks, FTTx

Phone: + 1 401 783 4764

Email: patrick.fay@crugroup.com

Company website: http://www.crugroup.com

Location: Providence, Rhode Island (RI)

Acome 14th Symposium, May 29-June 2, 2014, St. Petersburg, Russia