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Explore trade-offs in survival vs. reproduction, parental strategies, population growth models, and ecological impacts of human growth. Discover factors influencing population size and distribution, carrying capacity, and the concept of Ecological Footprint.
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Bright blue marble spinning in space Ecology Part 2
Trade-offs: survival vs. reproduction • The cost of reproduction • increase reproduction may decrease survival • investment per offspring • reproductive events per lifetime • age at first reproduction Natural selection favors a life history that maximizes lifetime reproductive success
Parental survival Kestrel Falcons: The cost of larger broods to both male & female parents
Reproductive strategies • K-selected • late reproduction • few offspring • invest a lot in raising offspring • primates • coconut • r-selected • early reproduction • many offspring • little parental care • insects • many plants K-selected r-selected
Trade offs Number & size of offspring vs. Survival of offspring or parent r-selected K-selected “Of course, long before you mature, most of you will be eaten.”
1000 Human (type I) Hydra (type II) 100 Survival per thousand Oyster (type III) 10 1 0 25 50 75 100 Percent of maximum life span Life strategies & survivorship curves K-selection r-selection
Population growth change in population = births – deaths Exponential model (ideal conditions) dN = riN dt growth increasing at constant rate N = # of individuals r = rate of growth ri = intrinsic rate t = time d = rate of change every pair has 4 offspring every pair has 3 offspring intrinsic rate= maximum rate of growth
Exponential growth rate • Characteristic of populations without limiting factors • introduced to a new environment or rebounding from a catastrophe Whooping crane coming back from near extinction African elephant protected from hunting
Regulation of population size • Limiting factors • density dependent • food supply, competition • predators • disease • density independent • abiotic factors • sunlight • temperature • rainfall
gypsy moth Introduced species • Non-native species • transplanted populations grow exponentially in new area • out-compete native species • loss of natural controls • lack of predators, parasites, competitors • reduce diversity • examples • African honeybee • gypsy moth • zebra mussel • purple loosestrife kudzu
Zebra mussel ~2 months ecological & economic damage
1968 1978 Purple loosestrife • reduces diversity • loss of food & nesting sites for animals
Logistic rate of growth • Can populations continue to grow exponentially? Of course not! no natural controls K =Carryingcapacity effect of natural controls
10 8 Number of breeding male fur seals (thousands) 6 4 2 0 1915 1925 1935 1945 Time (years) 500 400 Number of cladocerans (per 200 ml) 300 200 100 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Time (days) Carrying capacity • Maximum population size that environment can support with no degradation of habitat • varies with changes in resources
Changes in Carrying Capacity • Population cycles • predator – prey interactions
Population of… China: 1.3 billion India: 1.1 billion Significant advances in medicine through science and technology Industrial Revolution Human population growth adding 82 million/year What factors have contributed to this exponential growth pattern? 20056 billion Bubonic plague "Black Death" 1650500 million
Distribution of population growth 11 uneven distribution of population: 90% of births are in developing countries 10 high fertility 9 uneven distribution of resources: wealthiest 20% consumes ~90% of resourcesincreasing gap between rich & poor There are choices as to which future path the world takes… medium fertility 8 7 low fertility 6 World total World population in billions the effect of income & education 5 4 Developing countries 3 2 1 Developed countries 0 1900 1950 2000 2050 Time
USA 30.2 Germany 15.6 Brazil 6.4 Indonesia 3.7 Nigeria 3.2 India 2.6 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 Acres Amount of land required to support an individual at standard of living of population Ecological Footprint over-population or over-consumption? uneven distribution: wealthiest 20% of world: 86% consumption of resources 53% of CO2 emissions
Ecological Footprint deficit surplus Based on land & water area used to produce allresourceseach country consumes & to absorb allwastesit generates