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AIRPACT-3 status and near-term objectives

AIRPACT-3 status and near-term objectives. Joe Vaughan Brian Lamb Jeremy Avise Jack Chen Matt Porter Li Wang. Outline:. Status: Reliability Dairy Ammonia emissions BlueSky wildfire emissions (PM 2.5 & CO) (Adjusted Mozart Boundary conditions) (QuickLook Verification)

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AIRPACT-3 status and near-term objectives

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  1. AIRPACT-3 status and near-term objectives Joe Vaughan Brian Lamb Jeremy Avise Jack Chen Matt Porter Li Wang

  2. Outline: Status: • Reliability • Dairy Ammonia emissions • BlueSky wildfire emissions (PM2.5 & CO) • (Adjusted Mozart Boundary conditions) • (QuickLook Verification) • Off-line & selective Hg modeling • Dec 2005 PM2.5 Analysis

  3. Near-Term Objectives and work in progress • Convert rainier AIRPACT operations to new Linux box • Re & Development of web sites • WEPS integration • Aug-Nov 2004 Evaluation (& Pathfinding) • Push Forecasts out to 48 or 72 hrs? • Nest to higher resolution sub-domains?

  4. Who’s working on what • Re & Development of web sites: Jennifer Hinds • Hg, N, S deposition (RGI): Matt Porter • Wind Erosion Prediction System: Li Wang • AIRPACT-3(+) evaluation for 2004 Jack Chen • Conversion to new linux system: Joe Vaughan • Satellite data retrieval: Farren Thorpe • Wildfire emissions: Jeremy Avise and Jack Chen

  5. Reliability • November 2006? • Only Nov 26 run CMAQ failed to complete • Failsafe’s operation ran successfully for retrieving EPA CMAQ results • Only to fail on disk space in graphics generation… • CMAQ and forecast graphics generally complete by 4 AM.

  6. Dairy NH3 Emission Module

  7. Predicted 24-hr PM2.5 for Aug. 2006 WSU Pullman BlueSky/AIRPACT-3 Wildfire Smoke Modeling MODIS Image for Sept 5 2006 Observed Fire Events BlueSky System at Forest Service AIRPACT retrieves: fire location, fire size, heat flux, emissions

  8. EVALUATION OF THE AIRPACT-3 AIR QUALITY FORECAST SYSTEM FOR A WINTERTIME PM2.5 EPISODEByALICIA K. TONEY

  9. EVALUATION OF THE AIRPACT-3 AIR QUALITY FORECAST SYSTEM FOR A WINTERTIME PM2.5 EPISODEByALICIA K. TONEY

  10. EVALUATION OF THE AIRPACT-3 AIR QUALITY FORECAST SYSTEM FOR A WINTERTIME PM2.5 EPISODE

  11. Moving rainier operations to new linux box • Rainier is (1990s era) DEC-Compaq-HP alpha-based w/ Unix • New box is AMD w/ Debian Linux • Issues: • compiler switches • routine name ‘mangling’ • library creation • path changes • testing

  12. Re & Development of Web Sites • WSU Publication’s Content Mgmt System • Putting web authoring control in LAR • Strategy -- • Shorten cycle for updating project contents. • Standardize web code/technology across projects. • Get standard content in place, then • Focus on data graphics generation, tools, and downloads.

  13. Land Use & Soil Management Weather WEPS-AIRPACT-3 Databases Development Guanglong Feng and Li Wang

  14. Landuse Management Database

  15. BELD3 Dry Crop Type and Percentage

  16. Developed and GriddedSoil Database

  17. Evaluation of AIRPACT-3+ for Aug –– Nov 2004 rerunsby Jack Chen MCIP v3.1 at 21 layers CMAQ v4.6 Aerosol v4 w/ Sea salt Pathfinder for next upgrades for AIRPACT-3, to be implemented once running on new Linux box.

  18. EPA AQS O3 StationsHourly O3 for Aug – Sep 2004

  19. 8-Hr Daily Max O3 Paired by Site/Time

  20. 8-Hr Daily Max O3 Paired by Site/Time

  21. Hour Difference Between OBS. and CTM. Peak Daily 8-Hr O3 Data Paired by Site and Date Number of Data Points: 2265

  22. IMPROVE / EPA-AQS PM StationsAug – Nov 2004

  23. Fractional ErrorBy Site and PM Species for Sep – Nov 2004

  24. Fractional BiasBy Site and PM Species for Sep – Nov 2004

  25. Based on results of evaluations… should we… Push forecasts out to 48 or 72 hrs? Nest to higher resolution sub-domains?

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