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NORTHERN IRELAND CENTRAL INVESTMENT FUND FOR CHARITIES 31 March 2011

Background. NORTHERN IRELAND CENTRAL INVESTMENT FUND FOR CHARITIES 31 March 2011. Focus on the quarter to 31 March 2011 Performance over three months. Aim To achieve an annual income return of 20% premium to the benchmark yield and thereafter long-term capital growth in real terms.

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NORTHERN IRELAND CENTRAL INVESTMENT FUND FOR CHARITIES 31 March 2011

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  1. Background NORTHERN IRELAND CENTRAL INVESTMENT FUND FOR CHARITIES 31 March 2011 Focus on the quarter to 31 March 2011 Performance over three months Aim To achieve an annual income return of 20% premium to the benchmark yield and thereafter long-term capital growth in real terms. Benchmark FTA Gov All Stocks 25% FTSE All Share 50% FTSE World ex UK 20% LIBID 7 Day 5% Income To achieve an annual income return of 20% premium to the benchmark yield. Long-term performance Performance under Newton Investment Management Ltd Fund Information Key Details Contact NI Central Investment Fund for Charities, c/o Department for Social Development, The Lighthouse Building, 4th Floor, 1 Cromac Place, Gasworks Business Park, Ormeau Road, Belfast BT7 2JB Tel.: 02890 829 459 E-mail: nicifc@dsdni.gov.uk Web: www.dsdni.gov.uk/vc-nicif

  2. NORTHERN IRELAND CENTRAL INVESTMENT FUND FOR CHARITIES 31 March 2011 Fund Manager Fund analysis Sector Allocation as % of total market value Newton Investment Management Ltd of Queen Victoria Street, London. Newton is a global thematic stock picking company. This focus on themes helps to identify the catalysts for change and capture opportunities wherever they occur. First appointed August 2004 and reappointed in February 2009 following a successful retendering exercise. View their website at www.newton.co.uk Historic Fund Information Source: Newton as at 31 March 2011 Newton Investment Management Ltd Market Commentary The challenges of 2011 have not changed, and remain those of previous years. The attempt to create stability, via low interest rates, via quantitative easing (enlarged by recent, essential, monetary injections into the Japanese economy), and via translation of private sector debt into the public sector, has rendered unstable, paradoxically, those very institutions which previously provided solidity and continuity. In the near term, external circumstances are unlikely to assist the markets’ advance. Quantitative easing may come to an end in the United States, where the need to adopt some budgetary discipline will become ever more urgent: if the Obama administration and Republican opposition cannot agree on whether immediate budget cuts should be $33bn or $65bn, what if Angela Merkel, ‘kettled’ by poor provincial election results, can use no longer Germany’s financial firepower to impose monetary and fiscal rectitude on the Eurozone? Will holders of Greek, Irish (and Portuguese?) debt receive their (deserved) haircut? Will inflation surge if the US dollar weakens further and both supply and demand factors continue to drive up the price of energy and food? Or will such increases act to curb already weak consumer activity and thus have longer-term disinflationary consequences? To adapt to Lord Wolfson’s recent pithy comment, when announcing Next’s annual results, we are going to have to learn to “walk up the down escalator”. We are now in a period when temperatures around the world are beginning to rise but, ironically, Japan’s travails have acted as a break/brake in/on market momentum which threatened to fall prey to (restrained) euphoria. In the meantime, with muted wage growth, disciplined cost management and growing revenues, companies are giving a strong message to investors, via earnings improvements, buy-backs (Vodafone has just announced that the proceeds of divestments will be used to buy back 7% of its shares), via merger and acquisition activity and, most importantly, via higher dividend announcements, that they are still fit for purpose.

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