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Comprehensive Analysis and Prioritization of Transit Corridors and Modal Assignments in Florida

This report outlines the prioritization of transit corridors and modal assignments across key locations in Florida, including the Winter Park and Sanford areas. It covers methodologies for segment identification and potential, emphasizing transit demand, traffic conditions, and land use. Furthermore, it evaluates existing networks and recommends improvements to local transit services, including bus, light rail, and high-speed rail options. Financial analyses highlight future funding needs, operating costs, and potential revenue sources necessary for advancing transit solutions aligned with MetroPlan’s Vision 2030.

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Comprehensive Analysis and Prioritization of Transit Corridors and Modal Assignments in Florida

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  1. Agenda • Final Modal Assignments • Prioritization • Supporting Network • Financial Analysis

  2. Winter Park SunRail US 192 22 Corridors US 192 Silver Star Rd Sanford Innovation Way US 17-92 US 17-92 SR 436 SR 436 US 441 US 441/17-92 US 441/17-92 SR 50 John Young Pkwy Orange Ave Kirkman Rd SR 528 SR 434 Aloma Ave Maitland Blvd High Speed Rail Seminole Way

  3. Methodology Overview Step 1 Segment Identification Step 1 Segment Identification Step 2 Segment Potential Step 2 Segment Potential Step 3 Corridor Prioritization Step 3 Corridor Prioritization · Transit Demand · Traffic Conditions · Roadway Improvements · Compatibility · Population Density · Employment Density · Land Use · Area Type · User Market · Accessibility · Transit Orientation · Activity Centers · Average Trip Length · Existing Transit Ridership · Right-of-Way Availability

  4. 2030 TOD* Modal Assignments • Local Bus • Enhanced Express Bus • Bus Rapid Transit - Exclusive • Bus Rapid Transit - Mixed • Light Rail • Streetcar • SunRail • High Speed Rail * Consistent with MetroPlan’s adopted alternative land use plan

  5. Prioritization Methodology Overview • Mode prioritization by segment • Cost identification by segment • Cost vs. available revenue comparison • Identification of financially feasible service • Network compatibility adjustments • Policy adjustments • Network compatibility adjustments • Supporting network identification

  6. Mode Prioritization by Segment Linear Interpolation Existing Conditions Score 2015 Score 2020 Score 2025 Score 2030 Conditions Score • Segment zz • Segment dd • Segment ee • … • Segment aa • Segment cc • Segment xx • … • Segment aa • Segment cc • Segment xx • … • Segment bb • Segment yy • Segment zz • … • Segment dd • Segment aa • Segment ff • … Funding Cut-off

  7. 2015 TOD Modal Assignments • Local Bus • Enhanced Express Bus • Bus Rapid Transit - Exclusive • Bus Rapid Transit - Mixed • Light Rail • Streetcar • SunRail • High Speed Rail

  8. 2020 TOD Modal Assignments • Local Bus • Enhanced Express Bus • Bus Rapid Transit - Exclusive • Bus Rapid Transit - Mixed • Light Rail • Streetcar • SunRail • High Speed Rail

  9. 2025 TOD Modal Assignments • Local Bus • Enhanced Express Bus • Bus Rapid Transit - Exclusive • Bus Rapid Transit - Mixed • Light Rail • Streetcar • SunRail • High Speed Rail

  10. 2030 TOD Modal Assignments • Local Bus • Enhanced Express Bus • Bus Rapid Transit - Exclusive • Bus Rapid Transit - Mixed • Light Rail • Streetcar • SunRail • High Speed Rail

  11. LRTP Transit Cost Feasible Plan I-Drive to Medical City/ Innovation Way LRT US 441 to Apopka US 17/92 north of Winter Park Pine Hills Road Medical City/Innovation Way to UCF BRT

  12. LRTP and Vision 2030 Differences • Compilation of findings from different studies • Different corridor set • Varying age of data • Different methodologies • Policy decisions • Corridor versus network approach

  13. Supporting Network • Review of supporting local bus network • Improve frequencies of current routes • 30 minutes on most routes • 15 minutes on some routes • Addition of community connectors and flex-route circulators

  14. Supporting Network • Community Connectors • Circulates on specific route • Makes frequent stops at bus stops • Flex-Route Circulators • Operates in a specified area • Circulates on a specific route but deviates within service area when requested

  15. 2030 Community Connectors and Flex-Route Circulators Sanford Heathrow Zellwood Maitland Colonial Town Winter Garden Goldenrod Orlovista Conway John Young Parkway S • Local Bus • Enhanced Express • Bus Rapid Transit - Exclusive • Bus Rapid Transit - Mixed • Light Rail • Streetcar • SunRail • High Speed Rail • Community Connector • Flex-Route Circulator Orange Ave S Poinciana

  16. Financial Analysis • Expanded LYNX short-range model • Developed cost and revenue growth rate assumptions • Evaluated future funding needs based on existing conditions • Analyzed impact of potential supplemental revenue sources

  17. TOD Scenario: Operating Costs

  18. TOD Scenario: Operating Costs & Revenues

  19. TOD Scenario: Capital Costs

  20. TOD Scenario: Capital Costs & Revenues

  21. Operating Costs & Potential Revenues 2015 2020 2025 2030

  22. Near-Term Recommendations • Work with MetroPlan to ensure LYNX Vision 2030 is incorporated into 2040 LRTP update • Meet with local jurisdictions and MetroPlan Land Use Subcommittee to discuss how localities can make adopted LRTP land use plan a reality • Need to ensure changes do not create disproportionate adverse impacts to under-represented individuals

  23. Near-Term Recommendations • Explore options for dedicated/supplementary funding for transit • Develop and implement bicycle- and pedestrian-friendly land use policies • Continue coordination and discussions with stakeholders (i.e., Disney, OIA, UCF, etc.)

  24. Mid-Term Recommendations • Update the plan on a regular basis • Identify additional corridors for inclusion in next update • Work with counties and municipalities to develop transit-supportive growth plans • Develop transit-supportive corridor plans • Undertake individual corridor studies to identify better termini, operational improvements, and implementation plan

  25. Mid-Term Recommendations • Study the possibility of implementing Limited Stop Connector Service • Secure dedicated funding source for transit • Identify locations for park-and-ride lots • Continue coordination and discussions with stakeholders (i.e., Disney, OIA, UCF, etc.)

  26. Long-Term Recommendations • Changing conditions will need to be monitored (i.e., Medical City/Innovation Way development, HSR, etc.) • Continue coordination and discussions with stakeholders (i.e., Disney, OIA, UCF, etc.)

  27. Questions or Comments Thank you

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