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Climate Science Research

Climate Science Research. in Support of the Wind Power Industry. Prepared for Visit to ISU by Florida Power and Light. Wind resource availability Seasonal prediction Impacts of climate change Environmental impacts. In the Upper Midwest, Wind Resources are Influenced by:.

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Climate Science Research

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  1. Climate Science Research in Support of the Wind Power Industry Prepared for Visit to ISU by Florida Power and Light • Wind resource availability • Seasonal prediction • Impacts of climate change • Environmental impacts

  2. In the Upper Midwest, Wind Resources are Influenced by: • Seasonal pressure patterns • Diurnal temperature stratification • Buffalo Ridge • Low-level jet • El Niño/La Niña (?) • Pacific Decadal Oscillation (?) • North Atlantic Oscillation (?) • Climate change (??)

  3. “Given that a 1% error in wind speed estimates for a 100 MW wind generation facility can lead to losses approaching $12,000,000 over the lifetime of that plant, a better understanding of the physical and dynamic processes across the range of scales that create a particular wind climate is needed.” Draft recommendations, DOE Workshop on Research Needs for Wind Resource Characterization, 14-16 Jan 2008, Broomfield, CO

  4. Seasonal and Interannual Variability of Wind Speeds Wind Speed (m/s) departures from monthly means from 70-m tall towers in Minnesota Klink, K., 2007: J. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 46, 446

  5. Seasonal and Interannual Variability of Wind Speeds Wind Speed (m/s) departures from monthly means from 70-m tall towers in Minnesota Klink, K., 2007: J. Appl. Meteor. Clim. 46, 446

  6. Seasonal and Interannual Variability of Wind Speeds

  7. Seasonal and Interannual Variability of Wind Speeds

  8. Seasonal and Interannual Variability of Wind Speeds

  9. Seasonal Climate Prediction Multi-RCM Ensemble Downscaling (MRED) of Multi-GCM Seasonal Forecasts* Iowa State University Experimental Climate Prediction Center (UC San Diego) NOAA Climate Prediction Center Pacific Northwest National Laboratory * NOAA funding 2008-2011

  10. Trends in Wind Speeds, 1973-2005* Observations do not agree with reanalysis * Pryor,Barthelmie, Takle, Anderson, 2008. EGU Annual Meeting, Vienna

  11. North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) An international, multi-agency program to produce multiple realizations of future scenario climates at regional scales by use of global climate models (GCMs) and regional climate models (RCMs)

  12. NARCCAP Plan A2 Emissions Scenario HADAM3 link to EU programs GFDL CCSM CGCM3 Provide boundary conditions 2040-2070 future 1960-1990 current RegCM3 UC Santa Cruz ICTP CRCM Quebec, Ouranos HADRM3 Hadley Centre WRF NCAR/ PNNL MM5 Iowa State/ PNNL RSM Scripps Reanalyzed climate , 1979-2000

  13. Contact information: Eugene S. Taklegstakle@iastate.edu515-294-9871 Professor of Atmospheric Science Professor of Agricultural Meteorology Professor of Aerospace Engineering (courtesy appointment) Director, ISU Climate Science Initiative

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