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Work Packages: 1. Technologies (combination of CSP and desalting technologies)

Work Packages: 1. Technologies (combination of CSP and desalting technologies) 2. Water and Solar Energy Resources 3. Demand Side Scenario 4. Market Potential 2000-2050 5. Socio-Economic Impacts 6. Environmental Impacts 7. Literature. WP 3: Freshwater Demand Population Prospects.

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Work Packages: 1. Technologies (combination of CSP and desalting technologies)

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  1. Work Packages: 1. Technologies (combination of CSP and desalting technologies) 2. Water and Solar Energy Resources 3. Demand Side Scenario 4. Market Potential 2000-2050 5. Socio-Economic Impacts 6. Environmental Impacts 7. Literature

  2. WP 3: Freshwater Demand Population Prospects

  3. WP 3: Freshwater Demand Economic Growth Long-term average per capita growth rates of GDP

  4. WP 3: Freshwater Demand Water Demand Model Sector Irrigation Municipal Industrial Driving Force γPopulation GDP GDP Best Practice Effic. βirr = 70 %βmun = 85 % βind = 85 % Progress Factor αirr = 50 % αmun = 65 % αind = 65 % General End Use Eff. Enhancement μirr = 0 μmun = 1.8 %/y μind = 1.8 %/y

  5. WP 3: Freshwater Demand Water Demand Prospects by Country

  6. WP 3: Freshwater Demand Water Demand Prospects by Sectors

  7. WP 3: Freshwater Demand Deficits by Country

  8. WP 3: Freshwater Demand Scenario Variations

  9. WP 3: Freshwater Demand Scenario Variation Business As Usual

  10. WP 3: Freshwater Demand Scenario Variation Extreme Efficiency

  11. WP 3: Freshwater Demand Coincidence with other Analysis

  12. WP 3: Freshwater Demand Conclusions • MENA population will double by 2050 • MENA economies will approximate European level by 2050 • Water demand would grow from 270 Bm³/y in 2000 to 460 Bm³/y in 2050 • Water deficit would increase from 50 Bm³/y in 2000 to 150 Bm³/y in 2050 • Over-use of groundwater is already above 45 Bm³/y • Extreme efficiency could limit deficit to 100 Bm³/y  Efficiency and new sources will be required to cover water deficits

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