Economic Update:  US and Washignton
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Economic Update: US and Washignton Presented by Greg Weeks, PH.D. Washington State Employment Security Department Labor Market and Economic Analysis 2008 IPMA Conference Lake Chelan, WA October 14, 2008. All Employees: Total Nonfarm, U.S. December 2000 = 100

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Economic Update: US and Washignton

Presented by

Greg Weeks, PH.D.

Washington State Employment Security Department

Labor Market and Economic Analysis

2008 IPMA Conference

Lake Chelan, WA

October 14, 2008


Slide2 l.jpg

All Employees: Total Nonfarm, U.S.

December 2000 = 100

All Employees: Total Nonfarm, Washington

December 2000 = 100

US WA Index.EMF (LABORR) LANAGRA / WALNAGRA 10101-10812

*


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All Employees: Total Nonfarm, Washington

Difference - Period to Period Seasonally Adjusted, Thousands

WA mnthly chg.EMF (LABORR) WALNAGRA 10501-10812

*


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Employment/Population Ratio: Seattle

3-month MovingAverage King/Snohomish

Employment/Population Ratio: Washington less Seattle

3-month MovingAverage

Emp pop ratio.EMF (LAUSDB) EPASE / EPABW 9101-10812

*


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Unemployment Insurance: Exhaustion Rate: Washington

%

Unemployment Insurance: Initial Claims Applications: Washington

NSA, Number

ui initial claims v exhaustion rate.EMF (WACLAIMS) WALUEX / WALICL 9709-10808


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Unemployment Rate, United States

Seasonally Adjusted, %

Unemployment Rate, Washington

Seasonally Adjusted, %

jobless rate WA_US.EMF (EMPLR) USRA / WARA 10201-10812

*


December 2000 100 l.jpg

Seattle-Everett-Bellevue

200012=100

Tacoma

200012=100

emp growth by area alt ces.EMF (CES2) A0042644 / A0045104 10108-10807

December 2000 = 100


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All Employees: Manufacturing, U.S.

Seasonally Adjusted, Thousands

All Employees: Manufacturing, Washington

Seasonally Adjusted, Thousands

Mfg US_WA.EMF (LABOR) LAMANUA / WALMANUA 10201-10812

*


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All Employees: Mfg Nondurable Goods, Washington

Seasonally Adjusted, Thousands

All Employees: Mfg Durable Goods, Washington

Seasonally Adjusted, Thousands

mfg_dur_nond.EMF (LABORR) WALNDURA / WALDURGA 10201-10812

*


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Manufacturers' New Orders: Aircraft & Parts (U.S.)

Seasonally Adjusted, Millions $

aircraft orders.EMF (HAVER) NMOG641 1021-1084

*


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Manufacturers' New Orders: Information Technology (U.S.)

Seasonally Adjusted, Millions $

info tech.EMF (HAVER) NMOITI 1021-1084

*


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Construction Payrolls Share of Washington Payrolls

Seasonally Adjusted

Construction Payrolls Share of Total U.S. Payrolls

Seasonally Adjusted

construction share.EMF (LABORR) _ / _ 9101-10812

*


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Private Construction: Nonresidential (U.S.)

% Chg - Year/Year seasonally adjusted annual rate, Millions $

Private Construction: Residential (U.S.)

% Chg - Year/Year seasonally adjusted annual rate, Millions $

put in place res vs nonres.EMF (HAVER) CPVD / CPVR 10101-10812

*


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Housing Starts: U.S., Thousands of Units

6-month Moving Average, Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate

Housing Starts: Washington, Thousands of Units

6-month Moving Average, Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate

Starts US WA.EMF (HAVER) HST / WAHST 10201-10812

*


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Real Disposable Personal Income

% Chg - Year/Year, Seasonally Adjusted

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures

% Chg - Year/Year, Seasonally Adjusted

Real pce and real dpi.EMF (HAVER) YPDHM / CBHM 10201-10812

*


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Per Capita Personal Income, United States

Chained 2000 $

Per Capita Personal Income, Washington

Chained 2000 $

per capital real income.EMF (PIQR) USYPPHQ / WAYPPHQ 1011-1084

*


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Real Gross Domestic Product

% Change - Annual Rate, Seasonally Adjusted

GDP growth.EMF (HAVER) GDPH 1011-1084

*


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Consumer Confidence: Pacific

Seasonally Adjusted, 1985=100

Consumer Confidence

Seasonally Adjusted, 1985=100

Consumer Confidence.EMF (HAVER) CCSPAC / CCIN 10201-10812

*


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Avg Hourly Earnings: Total Private

% Change - Year/Year, Seasonally Adjusted, $/hour

CPI-U: All Items

% Change - Year/Year, Seasonally Adjusted, 1982-84=100

cpi earn.EMF (LABOR) LEPRIVA / PCU 10201-10812

*


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House Price Index, United States

% Change - Year to Year 1980 Q1=100

Housing Starts, United States

Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate, Thousands of Units

starts home prices.EMF (REGIONAL) USHPI / HST 1021-1084

*


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OFHEO House Price Index, Washington

% Change - Year to Year NSA, 1980 Q1=100

OFHEO House Price Index, United States

% Change - Year to Year NSA, 1980 Q1=100

house price WA vs US.EMF (REGIONAL) WAHPI / USHPI 771-1084

*


Yield curve 10 year versus fed funds rate l.jpg

10-Year Treasury Note Yield at Constant Maturity

% p.a.

Federal Open Market Committee: Fed Funds Target Rate

%

ffunds to long.EMF (HAVER) FCM10 / FFEDTAR 10101-10812

Yield Curve: 10-Year versus Fed Funds Rate


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CPI-U: All Items Less Food and Energy

% Change - Year/Year, Seasonally Adjusted, 1982-84=100

CPI-U: All Items

% Change - Year/Year, Seasonally Adjusted, 1982-84=100

CPI and core.EMF (HAVER) PCUSLFE / PCU 10101-10812

*


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Spot Oil Price: West Texas Intermediate [Prior'82=Posted Price]

$/Barrel

U.S. Retail Gasoline Price: Regular Grade

Avg, Cents/Gallon

gas and oil.EMF (HAVER) PZTEXP / PZRGUS 10101-10812

*


Slide29 l.jpg

U.S. Retail Gasoline Price: Regular Grade Price]

1995=100

Spot Oil Price: West Texas Intermediate

1995=100

retail gas & crude oil.EMF (HAVER) PZRGUS / PZTEXP 9601-10812

*


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Mortgage Foreclosures Started: Washington Price]

Not Seasonally Adjusted, %

Mortgage Foreclosures Started: U.S.

Not Seasonally Adjusted, %

foreclosures US vs WA.EMF (MBAMTG) WAL14F / USL14F 911-1084


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Composite Housing Affordability Index Price]

% Change - Year to Year Median Inc=Qualifying Inc=100

NAR Median Sales Price: Total Existing Homes, United States

% Change - Year to Year $

housing affordability and median sale price of homes, U.S..EMF (USECON) HACI / HXTPM 9709-10808


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Thank You for your time and attention! Price]

Please call or email with any questions:

Greg Weeks

[email protected]

(360) 438-48804


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