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Beef Cattle Outlook. Dr. Curt Lacy Extension Economist-Livestock UGA Winter School Beef Update January 20, 2012. Overview. Recent Trends Outlook for 2012 and beyond Marketing Alternatives. Livestock Marketing Information Center Data Source: USDA-AMS, Compiled & Analysis by LMIC.

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beef cattle outlook

Beef Cattle Outlook

Dr. Curt Lacy

Extension Economist-Livestock

UGA Winter School Beef Update

January 20, 2012

overview
Overview
  • Recent Trends
  • Outlook for 2012 and beyond
  • Marketing Alternatives
slide3

Livestock Marketing Information Center

Data Source: USDA-AMS, Compiled & Analysis by LMIC

slide4

Livestock Marketing Information Center

Data Source: USDA-AMS, Compiled & Analysis by LMIC

slide7

Livestock Marketing Information Center

Data Source: USDA-AMS, Compiled & Analysis by LMIC

slide11

Livestock Marketing Information Center

Data Source: USDA-AMS & USDA-NASS

outlook
Outlook
  • Positives
    • Low interest rates
    • Little inflation pressure
    • Generally strong corporate balance sheets
    • Recently improving hiring prospects
  • Negatives
    • Uncertainty over European situation
    • Federal debt/deficit
    • Political uncertainty
change in beef cow numbers january 1 2010 to january 1 2011 1000 head
CHANGE IN BEEF COW NUMBERSJANUARY 1, 2010 TO JANUARY 1, 2011(1000 Head)

Alaska

Hawaii

US Total

Livestock Marketing Information Center

Data Source: USDA/NASS

meat supplies will be slightly larger in 2011 but lower in 2012
Meat supplies will be slightly larger in 2011 but lower in 2012

Source: USDA-WASDE, December 2011 Report

projected prices 2011 and beyond
Projected Prices 2011 and Beyond

Source: USDA, LMIC and UGA

slide24

Livestock Marketing Information Center

Data Source: USDA-AMS & USDA-NASS, Compiled & Analysis by LMIC

beef cattle outlook1

Beef Cattle Outlook

R. Curt Lacy, Ph.D.

Extension Economist-Livestock

www.secattleadvisor.com