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Every once in a while we need to build a road!

Every once in a while we need to build a road!. The American Highway Users Alliance Alan E. Pisarski. Every once in a while we need to build a road!. “The real solution is not reducing traffic to fit capacity,” Mineta said.  “We must expand capacity to handle the growing traffic.”

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Every once in a while we need to build a road!

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  1. Every once in a while we need to build a road! The American Highway Users Alliance Alan E. Pisarski

  2. Every once in a while we need to build a road! “The real solution is not reducing traffic to fit capacity,” Mineta said.  “We must expand capacity to handle the growing traffic.” US DOT press release Feb 27, 2006 Alan E. Pisarski

  3. Oh OK! - That was an aviation conference! Don’t they know that if you build new airports and runways they just fill up again? Maybe we could have FHWA do seminars at FAA? Alan E. Pisarski

  4. WE HAVE DRAMATIC NATIONAL GOALS FOR TRANSPORTATION ! Our Present National Transportation Goal: MAKING THINGS GET WORSE ---- SLOWER! Apply that to Education; Health? Alan E. Pisarski

  5. A thought on goals! If your transportation goals can be met by everyone staying home you have the wrong goals! Alan E. Pisarski

  6. To reduce the effects of distance as an inhibiting force in our society’s ability to realize its economic and social aspirations MY GOAL FOR TRANSPORTATION Alan E. Pisarski

  7. The New Millennium World • A STABLE “OLD” POPULATION • THE GLOBALIZATION OF EVERYTHING • SKILLED WORKERS AT A PREMIUM • WORKERS CAN LIVE, WORK ANYWHERE • WHO, WHERE ARE THE IMMIGRANTS? • MAINSTREAMING MINORITIES • THE SCOURGE OF AFFLUENCE A CHALLENGED AFFLUENT SOCIETY Alan E. Pisarski

  8. Work Force Issues • Older workers in labor force • Even more females in labor force • Even more variable schedules • Work hours – a lot like part time • Skills matches – more spreading out • Amenities-based employment Alan E. Pisarski

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  11. Back to the ’80’s? Alan E. Pisarski

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  13. Back to the ’80’s ? Alan E. Pisarski

  14. OR LOOK AT THE POVERTY POP! Alan E. Pisarski

  15. The Baby-Boomers are coming! Alan E. Pisarski

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  17. Immigrant mode trend Alan E. Pisarski

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  21. WE MUST CONFRONT THE FALLACIES DIRECTLY • “System is in place” • Congest our way to the solution • Induced Demand- “It just fills up again” • “Efficiency” • The air quality goal; benefits of free-flow travel • dispersal in an affluent society Alan E. Pisarski

  22. Congestion is our friend! • Disinterest in congestion – bottom of the list of problems to solve • Congestion as a goal – if we can let things get bad enough behavior will change • The “Constituency for Congestion” Alan E. Pisarski

  23. Neighborhood Shorter trips Walk/bike Land use solutions Design What’s freight? Accessibility Public Mass Change behavior Make it happen Globally Integrated Longer trips Broad “community” Choices Market forces Major role for freight Mobility Private Personalized Technological fix Let it happen The Present Policy Conflict Two Metro Visions Alan E. Pisarski

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  25. The “Donut” Metro • Jobs and workers centered in suburbs • 46% of commutes; • 64% of growth 90-00 • 7.5 million coming in to the subs from exurbs and other metros each day • 7.5 million going out to the subs from central cities • CC to subs > Subs to CC in share of growth Alan E. Pisarski

  26. Counties exporting more than 25% of workers to work Alan E. Pisarski

  27. HOUSEHOLDS It’s the decline in the number of jobs I could reach in ½ hr! It’s the decline in the number of affordable homes accessible to my work! It’s the decline in the assurance of arriving on time! BUSINESSES It’s the decline in the number of workers within ½ hr of my employment site! It’s the decline in the number of suppliers & customers within ½ hr of my business! It’s the decline in ship- ment reliability! The great loss from congestion is not the extra three minutes it takes to get home Alan E. Pisarski

  28. The beginnings of a reaction • freight needs – a dose of reality • Irate reactions to congestion • 9/11 as a wakeup call • It is no longer acceptable that things are bad and our plans accept they will get worse Alan E. Pisarski

  29. THE LEAVENING POWER OF FREIGHT MOVEMENT • Forces serious consideration of costs • Costs are direct and immediate • Strongly and directly impacts jobs • Think of “Trucks with glass sides” • How many ton-miles in my breakfast? • Transportation policy and planning is not a parlor game Alan E. Pisarski

  30. Community Reactions • Legislatures and business communities demand response to congestion • Washington • Georgia • Texas • Others • Texas – “federal program a program for the average state – we are not average.” • What will it take to assure our competitiveness in the future • Georgia - “Can we get out of congestion?” Alan E. Pisarski

  31. Texas: Study Purpose • Led by Governor’s Business Council • Goals set by needs and vision rather than available resources-- CLRP • to define minimum performance standards and then seek resources to accomplish them • compare the benefits of solutions to the cost of solutions Alan E. Pisarski

  32. Texas: Study Recommendations • Focus on goal of TTI of 1.15 in major metros • (15% difference in travel time from peak to off-peak) • Hold line where below 1.15 • Evaluate projects based on: • Delay Reduction per $ • Measure Progress and report annually Alan E. Pisarski

  33. Texas’s Roadways – Texas’s FutureStudy Impacts: • Report to the Governor in April 2003 • Governor asked TxDOT – “how addressing congestion?” • Deputy Director – Focus on urban issues • TxDOT & metro MPOs -- joint process of identifying costs to meet regional mobility goals • H.B. 3588 (2003) require statewide strategic transportation plan tied to: • specific congestion indices mobility plans to meet congestion relief goals • provided short-term gap funding to help meet goals • August, 2004 MPOs and TxDOT produced: • Regional mobility goals • Cost estimates to meet goals • Process for continual updates (August 2006) Alan E. Pisarski

  34. GEORGIA: Focus on Atlanta • Atlanta fastest growth big metro • 40% population increase in 10 years • 30 counties • Greatest growth in travel time • Private Sector Studies convinced Governor of need & opportunity Alan E. Pisarski

  35. GEORGIA: Focus on Atlanta • Charge To Agencies - CMTF • GaDOT • ARC • GRTA • SRTA • Address Congestion Better • Solve With Current Funding • Use B/C Cost Analysis Alan E. Pisarski

  36. GEORGIA: Focus on Atlanta • Study/modify Goals • Study/modify Planning Criteria • Set Measures of Performance • Use Current Funding Better Alan E. Pisarski

  37. GEORGIA: Focus on Atlanta FINDINGS • Congestion Relief Not a Goal • Given A Weight Of 10% in Plans • Little in Common in Methods • Severe Weaknesses in Process • Giving Congestion A 50-70% Weight Reduced Congestion -- & Safety & Air Quality Alan E. Pisarski

  38. GEORGIA: Focus on Atlanta FINAL RECOMMENDATIONS • Set Congestion Goal TTI = 1.35 • All Agencies Use Common Methods • Value Of Time • Trucking • Delay Reduction/$ • Use B/C • Establish Annual Reporting Systems Alan E. Pisarski

  39. GEORGIA: Focus on Atlanta ACTIONS • CMTF Adopted Recommendations • All 4 Agencies Adopted Recommendations Individually • Governor Accepted Recommendations • Next: An Action Plan Alan E. Pisarski

  40. Congress hears • Shifts in Planning goals and focus • Safety/Security • Economic development • Accountability Measures • No teeth – parts per million for congestion or any other goal? Alan E. Pisarski

  41. A New Plan for Planning for States And MPO’s • MEET SAFETY NEEDS • SUPPORT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT • ASSURE SECURITY -- REDUNDANCY • MAINTAIN MOBILITY/RELIABILITY • SERVE AGING POPULATIONS • SERVE LOW-INCOME POPULATIONS • CLRP Plus WHERE DOES AIR QUALITY FIT IN THIS? Alan E. Pisarski

  42. The right next steps • Accept public consumer sovereignty • A real dedication to solving congestion • Adopt measurable performance results • Win public respect and support • OR, THE GOVT COULD ELECT NEW PEOPLE! Alan E. Pisarski

  43. THANK YOU! Alan E. Pisarski PISARSKI@ALANPISARSKI.C0M

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