Polling During the Nomination Season - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Polling During the Nomination Season

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  1. Polling During the Nomination Season Travis N. Ridout

  2. Super Tuesday Results • Obama won 13 states, Clinton won 8, 1 undecided • McCain won 9 states, Romney 7, Huckabee 5

  3. Projected Democratic Delegate Count 2,026 needed to win

  4. Projected GOP Delegate Count 1,191 needed to win

  5. Poll Predictive Success

  6. Upcoming calendar • Saturday - Washington - Louisiana - Nebraska • Sunday - Maine • Tuesday - Maryland, Virginia, DC

  7. NH v. SC polls • New Hampshire - average poll error: 9.6 percent • South Carolina - average poll error: 16.6 percent

  8. Questions?