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Four Mega Trends. Impacting High School Reinvention. Ray McNulty Senior Vice President International Center for Leadership in Education Hawaii January 22-23, 2007. Dreams of the children we have. Class of 2017. Themes. Some Thoughts Educational Challenges Four Megatrends.

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four mega trends

Four Mega Trends

Impacting High School Reinvention

Ray McNulty

Senior Vice President

International Center for Leadership in Education

Hawaii January 22-23, 2007

themes
Dreams of the children we have

Class of 2017

Themes
  • Some Thoughts
  • Educational Challenges
  • Four Megatrends

Success to Significance

reform

REFORM

What are some thoughts that come to mind when you hear this word?

epidemic of immediacy
Epidemic of Immediacy
  • Clock of the Long Now….
really bad predictions
REALLY BAD PREDICTIONS
  • “Law will be simplified. . .Lawyers will have diminished, and their fees will have been vastly curtailed.”
  • Journalist Junius Henri Browne, 1893
really bad predictions1
REALLY BAD PREDICTIONS
  • “Before man reaches the moon your mail will be delivered within hours from New York to Australia by guided missiles. We stand on the threshold of rocket mail.”
  • Arthur Summerfield, US Postmaster General under Eisenhower, 1959.
really bad predictions2
REALLY BAD PREDICTIONS
  • “Daily toil . . . will be shortened to four or five hours” U.S. Senator W.A. Peffer of Kansas, 1893.
  • “There will be no epidemics. There will be no incurable diseases.” Norman Bel Geddes in Ladies’ Home Journal, 1931.
demastification
DEMASTIFICATION
  • We have as a people, fewer shared experiences.
  • Choice Cable Stations
disintermediation
DISINTERMEDIATION
  • Printing Press
trends
Trends
  • A Fundamental Challenge
  • Changing Perceptions and Increased Expectations
  • Secondary Focus – College and Work Ready
slide16
Fundamental ChallengeChanging the expectations of educators, parents, community members and students regarding what is possible.
slide17
All students graduate as strong citizens ready for college and work.

“Ready for college and work” means that students:

  • have strong reading, writing and math skills
  • are prepared for a range of post-secondary options
  • become informed citizens who can grapple with tough social problems
slide20
There has also been a skills convergence: high school graduates seeking a family wage job face requirements similar to those entering college
  • Colleges and employers demand similar knowledge and skill sets
  • In math, they require algebra, data analysis, and statistics
  • In English they demand strong oral and written communication skills, analytical and research skills
  • Machine Operator
  • Eastman Chemical Company
  • Required Skills:
    • Calculate and apply ratios, proportions and percentages to solve problems
    • Add, subtract, multiply, divide and simplify rational expressions
    • Recognize and solve problems using a linear equation and one variable
    • Apply principals in equations involving measurements
    • Determine the perimeter and the circumference of geometric shapes
  • College Algebra
  • Required Skills:
    • Add, subtract, multiply, divide and simplify rational expressions
    • Understand functional notation
    • Solve systems of two linear equations in two variables
    • Solve quadratic equations in one variable
    • Graph a linear equation and quadratic function
    • Determine the perimeter and the circumference of geometric shapes
    • Represent geometric objects and figures algebraically

Source: American Diploma Project, 2003

changing perceptions and increased expectations
Changing Perceptions and Increased Expectations
  • The growing need for personalization and customization will influence not only the way that business is conducted but also how schools will function.
challenges
Challenges
  • Globalization
  • Demographics
  • Values / Beliefs
  • Technology
globalization
Globalization
  • 9/11
  • 11/9
  • Information Tech (Work to Worker)
globalization1
Globalization
  • Tax Returns
  • MRIs
  • Reuters
  • McDonalds
  • A- Level
china
China
  • Clothes / Shoes
  • Furniture
  • Consumer Electronics
  • Computers
  • Bio Technology
number of participants intel international science competition
Number of ParticipantsIntel International Science Competition
  • U.S. 50,000
  • China

6 Million

SOURCE: Craig Barrett, CEO Intel

china1
China
  • World Class for 10%
  • K – 12 Universal by 2020
  • 100 World Class Universities
  • 30 World Class Research Universities
  • Math /Science Focus (Specialist – 3rd Grade on)
  • International Orientation (110 Million – English)
  • Coherent Teacher Preparation
  • Early Childhood (3 year old – universal by 2015)
  • Career Focus

Source: Education in China: Lessons for U.S. Educators, Asia Society – Business Roundtable, CCSSO

challenges1
Challenges
  • Globalization
  • Demographics
  • Values / Beliefs
  • Technology
start working end working longevity

Start Working End Working Longevity

107

77

62

62

47

21

14

18

1900

2000

2100

over 85
Over 85
  • 1994 3.5 Million
  • 2020 7 Million
  • 2050 27 Million
demographics economic
Demographics / Economic
  • 1910 3.0 / 100
  • 1946 4.6 / 100
  • 2000 1.4 – 1.8 / 100
medicare
Medicare
  • 2004 9 %
  • 2020 25 %
  • 2040 50 %
challenges2
Challenges
  • Globalization
  • Demographics
  • Values / Beliefs
  • Technology
larger context
Larger Context
  • 1901 – 24 G.I.
  • 1925 – 42 Silent
  • 1943 – 60 Boomers
  • 1961 – 81 Gen X
  • 1982 - Millennial
millennial parents
Millennial Parents
  • Accountability
  • Protective
  • Connected 24 / 7
  • Cool to be Smart
  • Team Skills
  • Cool to Know Technology
challenges3
Challenges
  • Globalization
  • Demographics
  • Values / Beliefs
  • Technology
slide46
Information Technology
  • Processing
  • Communications
1964 ibm system 360 mainframe
1964 IBM System / 360 Mainframe

Central Units’ Memory = 8 MB

2004 iPod = 4 GB

2005 iPod = 20 GB

2006 iPod = 80 GB

slide51
SPOT
  • Microsoft
    • Citizen
    • Fossil
    • Suunco
slide52
SPOT
  • Integrated Projection
  • Projection Keyboard
slide56
Bio Technology
  • Biological Science
  • Practical Application
slide57
Bio-Info
  • Cell
  • DNA

Hardware

Software

google
Google
  • 2003 350,000 searches a day
  • 2006 1,000,000,000 searches a day

Source: Thomas l. Friedman

semantic web
Semantic Web

1980s:

“internetworking protocols” link computers

(Internet)

1990s:

“hypertext transfer protocol” link documents

(WWW)

2000s:

“grid protocols” link databases

(Grid computing)

semantic web1
Semantic Web
  • Analyze Documents
    • Key words and headers
    • Meaning/concepts
  • Complete Task
information systems
Information Systems
  • Hardware
  • Tools
  • Capacity
slide67
Evolution of the Telephone

1970s

1950s

Today

1990s

ready for work youth employment outcomes
To Deliver 21st Century Skills & Content:

The Common Core

Ready for

College

Academic

Outcomes

21st Century

Skills & Content

Information & Media Literacy

Communication

Critical & Systems Thinking

Problem Solving

Creativity, Intellectual Curiosity

Interpersonal Skills

Self-Direction

Accountability and Adaptability

Social Responsibility

Financial Literacy

Global Awareness

Civic Literacy

Specific Vocational Knowledge & Skills

Subject

Matter

Knowledge

Ready for Work

Youth Employment Outcomes

Cultural, Physical & Behavioral Health Knowledge & Skills

Ready for Life

Youth Development Outcomes

themes1
Dreams of the children we have

Class of 2017

Themes
  • Some Thoughts
  • Educational Challenges
  • Four Megatrends

Success to Significance

four mega trends2

Four Mega Trends

Impacting High School Reinvention

Ray McNulty

Senior Vice President

International Center for Leadership in Education

Hawaii January 22-23, 2007

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